Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

Specializes in Nephrology, Cardiology, ER, ICU.

STAFF NOTE - while AN encourages lively debate, name calling, etc., will not be tolerated. Please keep on topic. Thanks.

Old fashioned here

Hospitals could go back to the old diploma style of nurses' training. A hospital ran a school of Nursing, the

students got lots of hands-on experience in the various specialties, and many of them hired on after graduation.

There were 3 year programs, later shortened to 2. I think there are only a couple of diploma schools left in the

US, if any.

I was a diploma grad, got my BSN a couple of years later, many years later got the MSN.

The BSN did help me learn to do physical exam but only working at the bedside helped me hone my skills, time

management abilities, leadership, and clinical knowledge.

My employer paid for most of my tuition and gave me a raise once I had the BSN. It was quite novel at the

time.

Specializes in Psych, Corrections, Med-Surg, Ambulatory.
I enjoyed the article. I have a few thoughts - since you asked. I think a push toward BSN nursing is "BS." I am an ADN nurse and I didn't think I would finish that program and the reason was the focus on subjects not associated with "nursing." Kinda like someone going to school to become a mechanic and most of the required classes are attached to some social element or being assigned a research paper about whooping crane migration patterns. For this reason the thought of further nursing education makes me nauseous.

Regardless, ADN nursing provides the biggest bang for the buck; 2 years and you're working versus 4. Another thing we all know; you don't learn anything about nursing until you start to "work" so I don't think BSN education enhances one's ability to be a competent nurse. So I think the BSN push is a distraction from what the core of the problem is - and that is the hospitals. They are the culprit.

When I graduated from nursing school I went to work for a local pediatric hospital ER. Benefits were great, premiums were affordable and any health care your children needed was provided at no charge. Adult employees and spouses could get lab work or x rays for no charge. That gradually went by the wayside over the years until 10 years later my own employer assigned a debt collector to me for being 14 days late on an exorbitant post concussion MRI for one of my kids.

Fast forward to today...benefits are chipped away every year, salaries are stagnant, nurses are worked into the ground with no equipment or limited equipment while admin offices are renovated with posh furniture, carpeting, and decorations. I could go on but most of you know what I'm talking about.

So my cure for the nurse staffing problem is to return to taking care of the one who is out there generating the income. Without the nurses and other licensed healthcare staff there would be no shark for the remora to attach themselves to. This is the reason I think nurses are drying up.

Thanks for listening...

Yup. What he said.

Nursing school debate aside, the so-called 'shortage' is regional. It's noticeable where I live. It'd be nice if the states would give incentives to move to underserved areas, loan forgiveness, etc. Not gonna happen. Our nurses will just keep moving out to Cali.

Because quality of life also matters a lot.

Specializes in Clinical Research, Outpt Women's Health.

I thought this thread was about the "predicted nursing shortage". Not the ages old ADN vs BSN battle which has already been hashed out here about a billion times.

I do agree with those that say there is a spotty shortage only. I also think the future predictions are erroneous. Selling higher ed in any profession is big business. I think there is a lot of money to be made by schools and a desire by faculty for job security. I think adequate staffing in hospitals could prevent any shortage much better than sinking more money into schools of which we already have more than enough of.

I do not see younger nurses being willing to work the schedules that hospital nurses require very long. Not unless conditions improve a lot. If there is a big shortage it will be because they take their higher credentials and find something else to do with them. They are not afraid to take risks and lifestyle is very important to them so it should be interesting to see how that plays out.

Specializes in ICU/community health/school nursing.

Agree with the previous posters that what we have is a shortage of well-trained nurses who want to work with 1:7 patient ratios in Med-surg.

We also have a substantial shortage of programs that adequately provide the hands on training that BSN-prepared nurses need in the field. Why? Because some of us (like me) went through an accelerated program that skimped on clinical hours. When we did clinicals, our school was in competition with two other schools graduating their nurses with BSNs, two graduating their nurses with ADNs, and two LVN schools. The preceptoring nurses were literally nursing student weary.

Finally, we have a shortage of hospitals willing to invest the time it takes to train a new nurse how to operate. Part of that training is that new nurses make mistakes; most minor, some not so minor. When the culture of nursing at the hospital level changes from its current punitive state, the first problem may be resolved.

Specializes in OB.
Old fashioned here

Hospitals could go back to the old diploma style of nurses' training. A hospital ran a school of Nursing, the

students got lots of hands-on experience in the various specialties, and many of them hired on after graduation.

There were 3 year programs, later shortened to 2. I think there are only a couple of diploma schools left in the

US, if any.

I was a diploma grad, got my BSN a couple of years later, many years later got the MSN.

The BSN did help me learn to do physical exam but only working at the bedside helped me hone my skills, time

management abilities, leadership, and clinical knowledge.

My employer paid for most of my tuition and gave me a raise once I had the BSN. It was quite novel at the

time.

Hospitals *could* go back to that "old" style of training, but there is no financial incentive for them to do so, so I wouldn't hold your breath.

Specializes in Pediatrics Retired.

Just something I've often thought about; I haven't ever heard of this but...has anyone ever heard of a hospital not accepting a patient as a result of the "nursing shortage?"

Specializes in Travel, Home Health, Med-Surg.
Just something I've often thought about; I haven't ever heard of this but...has anyone ever heard of a hospital not accepting a patient as a result of the "nursing shortage?"

No, its been my experience that admin will just figure out who to discharge so they can admit. This of course puts more time restraints/stress on the bedside nurse to hurry and get the patient out so you can take another one, thus a dc and admit while trying to take care of your other patients.

I totally agree that the loss of nurses is due to lack of support for new nurses and that hospital policies need to give practical bedside nursing experience before pushing them into ICU situations with poor nurse-patient ratios and little teaching available.

When I was in my old-fashioned RN program I was taught the best nursing practices, not by my instructors but by the Head Nurses who insisted I learn them.

When I was a young Head Nurse when of my responsibilities was to continue the training of our new nurses. Now, I see none of that. Young nurses are put into ICUs and expected to perform as if book learning is all that is needed. These youngsters are frustrated and retiring out of survival. They are in fear of making a deadly mistake and having it on their conscience for life. They work long hours and with poor nurse-patient ratios.

Fix those things and nurses will do what they love for as long as I did.

Hi Old Dude, you can call me Old Lady. After 53 years of nursing experience, 23 at bedside and 30 in HOme Health I agree completely that young nurses are thrown into ICU and situations over their heads with reckless abandon by hospitaladministrators.

No patient will be turned down, providing they have some sort of insurance and hospital administra tion will rely on increased productivity by its nurses. This just means they will have more work and no relief wil incresed wages or benefits. The hospitals all expect more and more work from us for less and less consideration.

You are so right. We older nurses had the great advantage of extensive bedside experience. These young grads are taught that their BSN is everything. No wonder without support to get bedside experience these new grads are dropping out in droves.

More respect for the vital work of bedside nurses would be a great help as well.