Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

I've had calculus also & I gotta disagree. I don't think its applicable to nursing and it would weed out people but some of those would be great nurses

Specializes in Pediatrics Retired.
I've had calculus also & I gotta disagree. I don't think its applicable to nursing and it would weed out people but some of those would be great nurses

It would have weeded me out!!! I'd still pipefitting...:woot:

It would have weeded me out!!! I'd still pipefitting...:woot:

Well that would be a win for the pipefitters but a real loss for nursing and all the folks you have helped. Calculus be damned,

Specializes in Pediatrics Retired.
Well that would be a win for the pipefitters but a real loss for nursing and all the folks you have helped. Calculus be damned,

Well, that's very kind - thank you!

As I have said on here before,try getting a bedside Rn position in a NJ hospital with an ADN.

You will be laughed at.

my point? The Bsn is required for bedside Rn jobs now in some places.

So can we please stop with this myth that the Bsn is for "Management only?"

It required for med-surg and Homecare positions in my area.

Yes,the VNA requires a Bsn for field staff homecare Rn's.

Specializes in school nurse.

Nursing theory needs to be entirely deleted from BSN and MSN programs. There is widespread agreement on this, but who has the power and the cajones to change the curricula?

Thank you for distilling into a couple of sentences this truism. If I weren't agnostic, I might form a religion solely around the evils of nursing theory. Are you available to be it's prophet? It might pay well if we can get every nurse/nursing student traumatized by theory content in nursing classes to contribute $$...

I did my BSN 20 years ago. The only classes of real value were Statistics and Patho. Even Patho was largely a rehash of A and P, although I did learn from it, actually enjoyed it.

Nursing theory needs to be entirely deleted from BSN and MSN programs. There is widespread agreement on this, but who has the power and the cajones to change the curricula?

Shortage? There is not now, nor has there ever been, a shortage of nurses applying for good nursing positions.

There always will be a shortage of graveyard shift nurses.

That's worth a double take. Here Here!!!

As a nurse of 23 years with an associates degree, and nearly 55 years of age, I am currently back in school to obtain my BSN in nursing. I have no intention of seeking a supervisory role and am only back in school because it is required by my workplace. I agree with those of you who said that much of what is taught in the BSN program is not related to or used in my daily practice. I have, however, learned from some of the classes that I have taken.

Truth be told, if I had a choice of continuing schooling for the next 7 months or so that I have left to complete my BSN, I would stop today. It is extremely time consuming (assuming you are committed and will not settle for anything but an A), and it takes away from the little free time I have with my family and friends.

That being said, I will continue with schooling until my BSN is complete and I will try to take away anything I can to improve myself as a nurse and a member of society. It is my opinion that there should be many less papers to write, one a week is ridiculous, and that amount of reading seems endless; giving credit for time served in the nursing profession should be integrated into the BSN programs, making the amount of time needed for each class, writing papers and doing research more manageable and helping those of us who have been nursing for so long, feel less encumbered by the extensive amount of time taken from our daily lives.

I think we can learn just as much or more from having to engage in discussions and providing significant contributions to them, rather than writing copious amounts of papers. I think more people would want to advance their education if there were financial gain and less time commitment. The buy-in is difficult when the result ends at the starting point.

Specializes in ICU, Cath Lab/IR CCRN. SRNA Class 2026.

We need to be creating work environments to keep nurses at the bedside. Many states have a surplus of nurses choosing to work in other jobs. Although there are many reasons people run from the bedside, safe staffing is the most fundamental structural issue to address. It affects nurses with contributing to other stress factors such as incivility, workplace violence, the satisfaction of work environment and other factors. This is why I advocate for safe patient limits and why my research focus is on staffing for my Ph.D. Is it the only answer no, it is a major factor... absolutely.

Ironically in my policy class, I just read an article that discusses the future of nurses. For a few years now, I have had the feeling that our professional nursing organizations do not want nurses at the bedside. I honestly believe that is one reason they haphazardly support poor staffing legislation. They want to appear as though they support bedside nurses with "staffing committee" legislation because they still have to. Though that legislation has no real accountability. Of the 7 states that have had the legislation since 2002, not one piece of research shows an improvement with staffing or patient outcomes, but it is all that they purpose as a solution. Heck, Washington State allowed their safe staffing legislation to be amended to take away the voice of the bedside nurses in staffing decisions overall. Our professional nursing organizations staunchly oppose safe patient limit legislation, despite it having research that supports it. Probably because if nurses had work environments that they were not running/avoiding then their enrollment into advance practice areas would decrease. Because that is where they want all of their nurses.

Activating Nursing to Address Unmet Needs in the 21st Century

I will continue to advocate for safe patient limits because the research shows how registered nurses need to still be bedside, despite our professional organization's desire to not have nurses that take orders from doctors. I respect and see the value of having advanced practicing nurses in the community as our professional organization desire. That said, I also see the need through research and can admit selfish desire to have the safest environment for me and the nursing staff at hospitals when I finally become a patient.

www.nursestakedc.com for #SafePatientLimits for #PatientSafetyFirst

Well, that is the reason I left hospital nursing. I felt like one of those plate jugglers at the circus. I was under so much stress I had to start taking medication. Finally I had to leave for my own sake. You are right on track!