Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

I think it really depends upon where you live as far as there being a nursing shortage. Some states are worse than others but overall, there doesnt seem to be a nursing shortage where I live, only a nursing surplus and schools are popping out nurses left and right and the job pickens are great for HR departments as they definitely have a larger pool of candidates to choose from. Having a higher education, although nice, does not always guarantee a higher salary i.e. some employers are just plain cheap.... they demand all these higher credentials, but turn you down for some nursing positions because they consider you to be "overqualified" (educational wise) and/or figure you will leave if they hire you once you find a job that pays you more based upon your education and experience.

I enjoyed the article. I have a few thoughts - since you asked. I think a push toward BSN nursing is "BS." I am an ADN nurse and I didn't think I would finish that program and the reason was the focus on subjects not associated with "nursing." Kinda like someone going to school to become a mechanic and most of the required classes are attached to some social element or being assigned a research paper about whooping crane migration patterns. For this reason the thought of further nursing education makes me nauseous.

Regardless, ADN nursing provides the biggest bang for the buck; 2 years and you're working versus 4. Another thing we all know;

I'm going to have to stop reading about there.

1. I have friends who completed their ADN in 4 years or more.

2. They're doing their BSN right now.

3. They regret getting their ADN and wished they had gotten their BSN instead.

4. If I own a hospital and I have $120,000 to pay two nurses of entry level; 1. I'm not going to pay an ADN and a BSN who can do the same job. If I can pay one and save the money for better equipment, I will. There are certain things that BSNs can do that ADNs cannot. BSN learn a lot of paperwork. ADN don't. 2. You stop learning, you stop earning. I was told that by a psychology teacher.

5. If I graduate my BSN, it'll have taken me 5 years, with below college level courses that the program does not count which held me back, instead of some of my friends 4 years or more that took them to get their 2 year program.

6. Scope of practice for a RN is prohibition of prescribing medication unless NP which is not an ADN-NP program. Or such I've ever heard. I thought it was always BSN-NP. What a jump in education level that would be if it was ADN-MSN.

7. More math means more earning. Some CEO or director positions require use of calculus mathematics in order to run efficiently. The math you know, the more money you can earn.

I've always been told by my dad "I'm an aircraft mechanic. I got my certification and didn't need a degree. I'm better than a college student so no I don't need to improve my life or my education by going to college and neither do you".

Ever since that way of thinking I've HATED people who dislike improving their careers.

Specializes in SICU, trauma, neuro.
I don't quite understand the dissident when it comes to pursuing a BSN, or..........wasting your time on unnecessary classes? Big whoop. You think lawyers and physicians are better in their fields because they took an Underwater Basketweaving class in undergrad? No. But those are the academic hoops you gotta jump through. EVERY SINGLE person who's earned a bachelor's degree has likely taken a course unrelated to their major or profession of choice. Pull up those big girl panties. Nursing school isn't trade - it's a profession.

I have my BSN, and my problem wasn't with basketweaving (i.e. general ed requirements.) It was with nursing theory, nursing informatics etc. Most of my general ed classes were interesting. Those offending nursing classes are just time I will never get back.

Specializes in SICU, trauma, neuro.
a bachelor's degree in nursing has NEVER been about increasing one's clinical competence, which is why it seems a bridge program is filled with useless classes[/Quote]

Why not? We hear ad nauseam that BSN nurses yield better pt outcomes, no?

to claim that furthering one's education in nursing by involving loosely-related topics or courses, rather than sticking strictly to hands-on tasks only, is "fluff" or a waste of time, is just stubbornly keeping one's head in the sand, IMO[/Quote]

I don't mentally bifurcate classes into hands-on tasks vs. fluff... but I would have liked my BSN program to include more advanced patho, pharm, assessment classes. I mean furthering our knowledge there would make us more competent clinicians -- not merely technicians as those who focus on the hands-on skills.

Instead, in my theory class my instructor brought in these pictures of herself that supposedly showed her aura (it was an airbrushed-looking pastel rainbow loosely outlining her head and neck. I could have brought similar pictures of myself, created in Photoshop, and none would be the wiser.) She also brought her divining rods and showed us how she used them to decide where the qi was most favorable for the labyrinth she was putting in her backyard. One of our required readings was even endorsed by nursing great Deepak Chopra. :sarcastic:

My nursing informatics class could EASILY have been reduced to a lesson. A bit of history, pros/cons, important components to an EHR -- done.

Specializes in Palliative, Onc, Med-Surg, Home Hospice.
I'm going to have to stop reading about there.

1. I have friends who completed their ADN in 4 years or more.

2. They're doing their BSN right now.

3. They regret getting their ADN and wished they had gotten their BSN instead.

4. If I own a hospital and I have $120,000 to pay two nurses of entry level; 1. I'm not going to pay an ADN and a BSN who can do the same job. If I can pay one and save the money for better equipment, I will. There are certain things that BSNs can do that ADNs cannot. BSN learn a lot of paperwork. ADN don't. 2. You stop learning, you stop earning. I was told that by a psychology teacher.

5. If I graduate my BSN, it'll have taken me 5 years, with below college level courses that the program does not count which held me back, instead of some of my friends 4 years or more that took them to get their 2 year program.

6. Scope of practice for a RN is prohibition of prescribing medication unless NP which is not an ADN-NP program. Or such I've ever heard. I thought it was always BSN-NP. What a jump in education level that would be if it was ADN-MSN.

7. More math means more earning. Some CEO or director positions require use of calculus mathematics in order to run efficiently. The math you know, the more money you can earn.

I've always been told by my dad "I'm an aircraft mechanic. I got my certification and didn't need a degree. I'm better than a college student so no I don't need to improve my life or my education by going to college and neither do you".

Ever since that way of thinking I've HATED people who dislike improving their careers.

where do you get your info? Exactly what can BSN prepared nurses do that ADN prepared nurses can't? Just can't wait to hear this.

I did my BSN 20 years ago. The only classes of real value were Statistics and Patho. Even Patho was largely a rehash of A and P, although I did learn from it, actually enjoyed it.

Nursing theory needs to be entirely deleted from BSN and MSN programs. There is widespread agreement on this, but who has the power and the cajones to change the curricula?

Shortage? There is not now, nor has there ever been, a shortage of nurses applying for good nursing positions.

There always will be a shortage of graveyard shift nurses.

Specializes in ICU/community health/school nursing.
I'm There are certain things that BSNs can do that ADNs cannot. BSN learn a lot of paperwork. ADN don't.

Nope, nope nope.

My husband got his ADN 20 years ago and has worked emergency medicine, cardiac cath, and several other specialties. He bridged to his BSN several years ago because he wanted to get into management and the BSN was a requirement. But there was nothing he could not do as an ADN RN (except manage).

I got my BSN 10 years ago and there wasn't anything I was "better" at out of the gate. In fact, the ADN program had more clinical hours (and that might have been a reflection of the reality of two decades ago) so if anything he was MORE prepared to do the actual work of nursing than I was. I may have been more prepared to manage...and that and a dollar will buy me a Dr. Pepper. We don't need nurses who know how to manage. We need nurses who know how to be nurses.

Functionally I see no difference for bedside nursing between these credentials. The reason to get a BSN is to manage your career, get raises and more opportunities & that's all. There is no defending the fluff curriculum of nursing education. No defense to all those theory classes. Honestly I think a large part of the BSN push is a money grab by educational institutions and keeping nurse instructors / professors in their comfort zone. It certainly has nothing to do with students or the patients they care for. This couple years of credits should be filled up with challenging, clinically based classes that nurses would be interested in. Something that nurses would need and even more want but that's not what we have or anywhere close to it

Specializes in Pediatrics Retired.
Functionally I see no difference for bedside nursing between these credentials. The reason to get a BSN is to manage your career, get raises and more opportunities & that s all. There is no defending the fluff curriculum of nursing education. No defense to all those theory classes. Honestly I think a large o the BSN push is a money grab by educational institutions and keeping nurse instructors / professors in their comfort zone. It certainly has nothing to do with students or the patients they care for. This couple years of credits should be filled up with challenging, clinically based classes that nurses would be interested in. Something that nurses would need and even more want but that's not what we have or anywhere close to it

No truer words have been spoken!!!

Specializes in SICU, trauma, neuro.
There are certain things that BSNs can do that ADNs cannot. BSN learn a lot of paperwork. ADN don't

7. More math means more earning. Some CEO or director positions require use of calculus mathematics in order to run efficiently. The math you know, the more money you can earn. [/Quote]

First point: there are actually zero scope of practice differences. A BSN or MSN is typically required for a leadership position, but for a bedside/staff nurse, your assertion is simply not true.

More paperwork? Do you mean written papers or documentation?

Second point: I haven't heard of calculus being required for nursing. I did take calculus as a general ed for the music degree I was working on right out of high school. When I started my ADN program, COLLEGE ALGEBRA was waived bc I had taken calculus. My BSN program had no higher math requirement. None.

Granted that's just my experience, but on this forum, you see pre-nursing students get all nervous about college algebra. Nobody ever freaks out about having to take calculus.... to me that suggests they don't have to take it. If they did, they would post about being nervous for calculus.

No calculus. Algebra & Stats

Specializes in SICU, trauma, neuro.
No calculus. Algebra & Stats

Oh I did have stats as a prereq for my BSN bridge, almost forgot about that! I don't think that's considered "higher math." I could be wrong about that, but my class was MILES easier than calc.

Hopefully not getting too off topic, but I wouldn't mind if calc was required. I remember a few years back, sitting in a meeting with my then-5th-grader's math faculty, discussing the possibility of her taking Algebra I in 6th grade. One of the pros was that in college, Calc II is a big weed-out class for aspiring math/engineering majors and pre-med students. This way, she could complete Calc II while still in high school.

Nurses are not primarily hand holders; we hold a huge responsibility for pts lives. Of course the pt needs providers, but they are not continuously at the bedside. We don't need engineering math, but why wouldn't we want the best and brightest in our ranks?