Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

1:7 ? Wow! I was once hired onto an orthopedic unit with the promise of no more than 4 patients a day.

In fact, I never had less than 8 and on weekends as many as 10. Besides that, due to outlandishly poor infection control, 2-3 of these patients were on Individual Precautions. Even at that I had to beg doctors to put on gloves for wound care or get them to at least wash their hands between infected patients.

It was scary personnally, exhausting and frustrating. The worst 6 months of my 53 years of practice.

Just something I've often thought about; I haven't ever heard of this but...has anyone ever heard of a hospital not accepting a patient as a result of the "nursing shortage?"

Not in Canada. Our coveted "universal healthcare" system is good, but not the unicorn everyone seems to think it is. In the acute care hospital where I worked, some units were consistently over-capacity. For example, ALC and rehab were at 120-135% capacity on-and-off for years. The hospitals here literally admit patients to the hallways if we run out of space in rooms. To address all the (valid) upset patients/families were voicing the hospital CEO issued a letter for nurses to pass out to anyone with an inquiry that just glossed over their PR-friendly reason for compromising patient privacy and safety by stacking bodies wherever they can. Sigh.

From my perspective, this problem was heralded in when modern healthcare organizations began assuming a corporate business model. This model, regardless if it's McDonalds, Boeing, or Holy Cross Hospital that we're talking about, dictates increasing production while holding (or trimming) operating costs. It effectively eliminates any humanism, compassion, or charity, and strictly adheres to the 'bottom line'-i.e.$$$. How does this translate for health care? It has been my experience, that it manifest as the revolving door for staff, critical nursing shortages, and often, marginal or unsafe patient care. I'm not knowledgeable enough to know if this changing paradigm was necessary to allow these enterprises to remain competitive amidst increasing market pressures, or instead, was to appease shareholders and/or the often bloated senior administrations. Like OldDude RN, I remember when hospitals had far better benefits: Christmas bonuses, significant cafeteria discount, pensions, good medical/dental...in addition to reasonable expectations of their nurses. As others have suggested, who wants to enter a profession to be overworked, poorly compensated, and treated like a commodity? In a nutshell, I think this is the problem

Specializes in M/S, Pulmonary, Travel, Homecare, Psych..

It's odd to me how the "Does the BSN make you a better bedside nurse?" debate always comes up when shortages and/or education are discussed.

It's the wrong question to ask. Even if you have a valid, well researched answer to the question (few do, we just pick the answer the suits our personal preferences) it's not applicable. The goal of furthering our education is not to insert IV's more quickly or document better. It's about being in a better position to further nursing away from the bedside.

It's like being a pizza delivery person, taking safe driving courses and then complaining that "This didn't help me bake pizzas any faster." It wasn't designed to do that anyway so................sorry for you not connecting the dots and all.

I got my BSN to be more employable. I followed an educational pathway that didn't make me bankrupt. Along the way, in part due to my education, I became more aware of the bigger picture *away from the bedside*. Sure, a lot of the classes seemed to be boiling over with "filler" intended to justify course credit requirements. The classes were not completely barren of value though.

Specializes in M/S, Pulmonary, Travel, Homecare, Psych..

Forgot to add (and this is the topic anyway): Signs of a shortage are in full bloom in my area.

Sign on bonuses are back, travel agencies that know me from my days of travel nursing are contacting me again (I went years without hearing a whisper from them, not I get weekly emails), facilities (hospitals in particular) are getting creative with reimbursement...............

For example, I am looking to move into a nicer apartment. There are five apartment complexes in the area of my hospital that offer reduced rent to hospital employees. This sort of thing was not available two years ago.

When I graduated, most facilities put heavy emphasis on retaining nurses. That went away for a long time due to the recession. It seems to be back now. That's just my observations though.

Yeah, despite my criticisms of BSN programs for their low quality and downright silliness at times I think that if nurses are going to be considered "professionals" they must have and educational qualification that folks will respect. Simply put, my 13 months at Community College won't fulfill that. So what do we do? First, I think we have to make it worth it for the individual nurse economically. Now it's not if a nurse can invest $10K at a community college to get hired at a $60K job why would she invest $150K. That makes no sense economically and I would never advise that. Perhaps BSN trained nurses should get a robust bump in pay or the places they work should make significant contributions to their efforts. The whole "you are going to have to have a BSN to be a nurse" argument rings hollow. My ex was a nurse and I remember her telling me that nonsense back in 1983. A close second is more regulation and standardization of BSN programs. Lets face it many of these programs are a joke. Stop with the group projects involving silly topics and arts & crafts. They are simply time killers and fillers for lazy professors who want to eat up class time so they don't have to teach. In short we have to make the BSN something it is not & that's economically valuable, important to a career that proportionate to time and money invested, educationally pertinent and interesting and many other things that it is not now. We need to stop pretending that what we have now is as it should be or even close.

It's been 20 years, but what I recall from my BSN program is a couple of good, nursing-related classes, and a bunch of ridiculous filler. Fortunately, it was not that expensive, partly because I already had a bunch of credits from a previous Bachelor's degree.

I have a couple of rotten supervisors and co-workers from my early nursing jobs to thank for my NP career. Thank you from the bottom of my heart. If bedside nursing had been tolerable, I would still be doing it.

To paraphrase a previous poster, there is no real nursing shortage, but there will always be a shortage of people who enjoy being treated like crap.

I loved my job as an ER nurse & would have been happy to retire as such. I got that job with an associates degree. So what drove me to continue my studies to BSN then DNP? Economics. I'm old and have to think of my pension which is based on our base salary. Our NPs make about 1/3rd - 1/2 more than our nurses. Now I could quickly close that gap through shift differentials and strategic OT. However, that gap would not be closed in retirement which I hope to draw for many years. My employer also footed most of the bill for my educational efforts. Does this sound like a cold and calculated business decision and not a response to a "calling" or trying to better my profession as a whole? You betcha it was. I think if more nurses only did what made sense for them the profession would actually be better across the spectrum. If a job presents unacceptable working conditions quit or unionize (another discussion entirely). If something doesn't seem to make sense it probably really doesn't & more BS needs to be called. If there is any shortage for anything markets respond. Our market is slow to respond because nurses get treated like crap and put up with it and do things for reasons that have no tangible benefit for them

Specializes in critical care, ER,ICU, CVSURG, CCU.

My humble diploma program,, afforded me the exact same day of graduation, as charge nurse in CCU, of same diploma hospital program,

My humble diploma preparation afforded me assistant unit director, in several major teaching hospitals,

Cvicu, CCU, and ER

ER supervisor in Wash. DC

Worked as "nurse clinician, doing all H&Pat a VA hospital, long before concept APN......

Then several stents at various LTC......as DON

What I graduated with was experience and theory.....

In 45.5 years my diploma program, has never held me back.....

Specializes in Med-Surg, NICU.
I don't quite understand the dissident when it comes to pursuing a BSN, or at least increasing the proportion of BSN-prepared RNs. Does it make you a better and more skillful registered nurse? That's debatable, but the commenters on the post seem to think not.

I think pursuing higher levels of academic education is a great thing, and it's really only those who do who really impact the profession in nursing research and policy.

Mad about wasting your time on unnecessary classes? Big whoop. You think lawyers and physicians are better in their fields because they took an Underwater Basketweaving class in undergrad? No. But those are the academic hoops you gotta jump through. EVERY SINGLE person who's earned a bachelor's degree has likely taken a course unrelated to their major or profession of choice. Pull up those big girl panties. Nursing school isn't trade - it's a profession.

I am going to disagree. Nursing is indeed a trade and this anti-education sentiment that permeates much of the "profession" is proof. Most nurses are chronic hourly workers. We punch in a clock, have strict dress codes and lower educational requirements. We have far more responsibility than PT/OT/Speech Therapy, but those professions require a MS and have more stringent standards. Very few diploma mills to be found in those professions, unlike nursing.

As much as I'd like to I can't fully disagree. Lets face it "professionals" aren't made in 13 months at community college like me. We can't have our cake and eat it too. If we are going to be seen and treated as professionals we need standards that will allow us to be seen in that light. I think nurses can be developed into professionals and be damn good at what they do regardless of education level. To do this we need stringent educational and qualification standards that in no way what is going on in BSN land. Nurses mock getting their BSN because many of the programs are mock-worthy and teach them no tangible information. Further, many don't translate into higher earnings at the immediate level or ever for that matter should a nurse decide to stay bedside so when they say its not worth their effort and money they are right