Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

Specializes in Travel, Home Health, Med-Surg.

I think that the only shortage is in bedside nurse positions. I am not sure the way to solve that problem is by having many more BSN educated nurses. It has been my experience that not only does the BSN prepared nurse not (necessarily) provide better care to patients they also tend to leave bedside jobs faster to pursue "better" jobs (meaning not bedside). I can see why some jobs may require a BSN but not sure the bedside nurse needs to have one if that individual does not want to obtain it, for what ever reason. As others have stated, I also believe the only shortage is in bedside nursing and that will only be solved by changes made by hospital admin to retain nurses (I wont be holding my breath though!).

Fast forward to today...benefits are chipped away every year, salaries are stagnant, nurses are worked into the ground with no equipment or limited equipment while admin offices are renovated with posh furniture, carpeting, and decorations. I could go on but most of you know what I'm talking about.

So my cure for the nurse staffing problem is to return to taking care of the one who is out there generating the income. Without the nurses and other licensed healthcare staff there would be no shark for the remora to attach themselves to. This is the reason I think nurses are drying up.

Thanks for listening...

OldDude, I agree that hospitals are not treating RNs well enough to attract new ones. I am in Nursing School and most people in my class are interested in earning an NP because bedside nursing has become less and less attractive over the years. The scheduling, pay and attitudes that hospitals have towards their nurses does not seem so rosy from the outside. :(

Given that there's no good research showing BSN prepared nurses provide care resulting in better outcomes, I too have been racking my brain to figure out why the push. The only consistent rationale I can find is that the BSN prepares nurses for leadership roles, in which case I say let those who want those roles go for the BSN. To the bedside nurse, the BSN hoops are just more evidence of management's ever increasing arbitrary and burdensome requirements.

Agreed!

Most BSN level courses are focused on research, communication and leadership skills. Great for management, useless for the bedside.:unsure:

I have several things to say:

Firstly, you're comparing me to Trump? Seriously? Lol. Additionally, your "that's cute" and "honey" comments are passive aggressive -I don't get it. Why are those comments necessary? To passively denigrate me? It's unprofessional, but I suppose the anonymity of an online username gives you great courage. Bravo! I prefer liquor, but at least I don't turn mean.

Secondly, you said nurses don't see returns on their educational investments. I kind of get what you're saying, but your statement isn't the most accurate. Wages/salaries for bedside RNs, regardless of degree, are fairly similar within institutions, but a BSN or higher greatly increases your income potential - whether it's leaving the bedside or transferring to a higher-paying hospital while still at the bedside.

Thirdly, I'm unsure why you brought up the history of nursing and telling me to brush up. Hm okay, I will? But, registered nursing is still a profession.

Fourthly, I never said in my post that BSN-opposers should shut up and drink the poison...nor all that other rambling you did. I think you misinterpreted my post. If RNs are content with their jobs and plan on retiring in the same role, all power to them - a BSN certainly won't help their pay or clinical competency. But, I also feel that the culture of nursing is changing, with fewer RNs retiring at the bedside and fewer RNs staying within the same department or employer - a BSN gives them flexibility to move around and augments their competitiveness for higher-paying jobs. It's not imaginary employment. That's like calling Warren Buffet a fool for investing his money in the stock market, all for the sake of future imaginary payoffs.

Perhaps my original post was lacking in brevity. This is what I meant - a bachelor's degree in nursing has NEVER been about increasing one's clinical competence, which is why it seems a bridge program is filled with useless classes. But, if you want future career flexibility and better income potential, then pull up those panties and take those seemingly useless classes. Whether it is personally worth it is up to the individual's circumstances.

Additionally, you ABSOLUTELY DO NOT have to accrue massive debt for a BSN, so I don't get your martyrdom analogy. And if you do, then it's your fault, and no one else's. Personal finance and awareness is a great skill.

I'm not yet for a mandated BSN. And until it is, I likely will never get one.

Now, go change out of your soiled big girl panties, please.

@Tacomaboy3 You initiated the snark by telling me to not get my panties in a wad, along with other low brow comments. To me, that along with your hypocrisy is very Trump-esque behaviour. You denigrated yourself. YOU ARE A NURSING STUDENT - walk before you run. You're not yet a nurse, so perhaps humble yourself and take a page from seasoned nurses and use this as a teachable moment, reflective practice...If you can't take the snark than don't dish it out in the first place honey buns ;)

Also, the industry is not a bubble within which only your circumstances exist and to deny/blame people for being disenfranchised is illogical. I am speaking to the experience of many people, but especially the nursing students I train. Institutions do NOT pay for or subsidize continuing education for nurses in Canada; here, we're all forced to pay out of pocket for revised credential requirements, including the BScN. A lot of countries function this way unfortunately. Do you not study global health where you were educated?

Lastly, I have a BScN while you are still a nursing student... nowhere did I say a BScN wasn't valuable. That's not the issue that was being addressed. You've missed the point completely.

Specializes in OB.
Agreed!

Most BSN level courses are focused on research, communication and leadership skills. Great for management, useless for the bedside.:unsure:

Research, communication and leadership are USELESS for the bedside? Do you really believe that?

I agree 100% with Tacomaboy3, especially about a BSN increasing your earning potential and job opportunities. Where I work, a BSN is becoming mandatory. I've been at the bedside for many years and, yes, the problem of aging nurses leaving the bedside is a reality, but the real issue, as I see it, is that the majority of young people going into nursing have no intention of staying at the bedside. Many of them are planning their escape six months to a year after orientation is finished. Going back to school in droves to become NP's, clinical educators, administrators, etc. I guess there will always be a fresh crop of new RN's to fill the void, but I agree with all the posters who say that the unreasonable workload and the expectations that are placed on the bedside nurse are driving people away from this profession.

You initiated the snark by telling me to not get my panties in a wad, along with other low brow comments.

Uh, are we reading the same posts? I never initiated snark with you. What other low brow remarks did I make to you directly (besides the changing your soiled panties response?). I'll admit, that was a reaction to your response.

You're awfully passive aggressive. Honey buns? Again? You seem to be the kind of person that ENJOYS pushing buttons and getting underneath peoples' skin. Cooooool. Love those people..

that along with your hypocrisy is very Trump-esque behaviour.

What IS Trump-esque is your denigrating my valid opinion and displaying your own as omniscient.

Do you not study global health where you were educated?

No, I never did. You going to denigrate me more because I haven't? How Trump-esque.

Sigh. This is the horrible thing about forums. The online anonymity makes even the COBs (as you put it) bullies.

Research, communication and leadership are USELESS for the bedside? Do you really believe that?

Woops! :facepalm:

Thanks for catching that! I actually wrote a much longer reply, but then I made it more succinct... and less accurate.

I believe a BSN is important for nurses in management positions and helps them develop policies that are appropriate and research-based, communicate with other departments and administrators and manage effectively. I think that "research, communication and leadership skills" are useful for all nurses, bedside or otherwise. However, these skills are covered - albeit with less detail - in ADN coursework; a BSN is not the only path to learn these skills. It's the extra coursework in the BSN related to these subjects that I don't know is necessary for all nurses; although, I'm sure it is HELPFUL.

Slightly off topic, but I was excited to see you're a CNM! I'm only a first year student, but that's a strong consideration of mine. Feeling a little star-struck...

On the whole, there is no nursing shortage. There is a shortage of people who want to be treated like crap

There is the answer to the problem. Pay a RN at the bedside $100 an hour with a normal schedule of Monday through Friday and the supposed theoretical nursing shortage evaporates immediately.

There never has been and never will be a RN shortage. There is a shortage of people who will work in hazardous conditions for low pay.

Specializes in OB.
Woops! :facepalm:

Thanks for catching that! I actually wrote a much longer reply, but then I made it more succinct... and less accurate.

I believe a BSN is important for nurses in management positions and helps them develop policies that are appropriate and research-based, communicate with other departments and administrators and manage effectively. I think that "research, communication and leadership skills" are useful for all nurses, bedside or otherwise. However, these skills are covered - albeit with less detail - in ADN coursework; a BSN is not the only path to learn these skills. It's the extra coursework in the BSN related to these subjects that I don't know is necessary for all nurses; although, I'm sure it is HELPFUL.

Slightly off topic, but I was excited to see you're a CNM! I'm only a first year student, but that's a strong consideration of mine. Feeling a little star-struck...

Thanks for the clarification (and no need to feel starstruck haha). I hear what you're saying and can agree somewhat, I just get saddened by hearing nurses attack higher education in nursing. I feel like some people just aren't willing to accept that the profession is changing. That being said, I completely understand that the ADN serves a very useful purpose for a lot of people starting their careers, and that there are a lot of problems with nursing education in general, and many BSN programs in particular. I also agree with the general topic of this thread that the predicted "nursing shortage" is a complex topic.

Specializes in Nephrology, Cardiology, ER, ICU.
I am obtaining my BSN for two reasons:

1. I signed a contract at my current employer stating that I would obtain my BSN within 3 years of hire. They pay up to $20,000 for school, and I will have only used $2,000 when I finish my BSN. The MSN program I plan on attending is approximately $19,000 so I'd only have to pay $1,000 out of pocket over two years. I would like to teach and/or be a nurse educator so I need to attain higher level degree(s) in order to be able to do so.

2. I need at least a Bachelor's degree in case I choose to pursue a career outside of nursing. I'm having major back problems due to my medical history and back injuries both on and off the job. Many of the jobs I see outside of nursing, such as medical sales or pharmaceutical sales, require at least a Bachelor's degree in something. This is my back-up plan in case nursing education doesn't pan out.

I don't think everybody needs to obtain their BSN. My nurse mentor has worked as a nurse for 31 years - literally as long as I have been alive - and going back to school at her age when she's going to retire in 5-10 years AND is maxed out on salary is kinda pointless.

Great plan - congrats on being so fore-sighted

Specializes in Nephrology, Cardiology, ER, ICU.
Thank you traumaRUs for your time putting together this post. And with all due respect for Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health's credentials, I'm disappointed she didn't challenge the premises that the costs of education and lack of BSN prepared nurses are somehow critical pieces in the predicted shortage of nurses at the bedside. There isn't, and I doubt there ever will be, a shortage of nurses per se; there is a shortage of positions and conditions attractive enough to get and retain nurses at the bedside. Though I can understand that someone employed by a business that in essence sells degrees would see value in more people buying the product, the answer doesn't lie in graduating more nurses when half of qualified nurses aren't employed at their first job after a year and another third leave the profession entirely in the next five years.

CaffeinePOQ4hPRN and others have said most of what I would say about the systemic problems in organizations where nurses are employed far better than I could. But I take particular issue with the trope - by no means originated by Ms. Wirth - about nursing as a calling. Perhaps I am overly sensitive to the phrase having worked in an organization whose leadership in their own words sought nurses for whom the work was a calling because in management's minds those called nurses would be less concerned about salary, working conditions, and expectations. My experience is that nurses who see their work as a calling often have issues with setting appropriate personal and professional boundaries. Come to think of it, is there any male dominated profession - other than the clergy - that would seek to place that requirement on its ranks?

And seriously, the idea that any health care organization would show by its compensation structure and working conditions that nurses in management are far more valued than nurses at the bedside who are actually providing the service for which the business is paid AND THEN wonder why said nurses are leaving the bedside. . . well, they need to go back to business school.

Appreciate your response. Dr Wirth is indeed expressing her opinion about nursing being a calling. I've been a nurse since 1992 (LPN) and RN (1994) and there have been times in my career when I felt it was a calling but for most of the time I spent bedside although I didn't love it, it was satisfying and provided a decent income for my family.