Jump to content
guest416560

guest416560

Member
  • Joined:
  • Last Visited:
  • 357

    Content

  • 0

    Articles

  • 12,816

    Visitors

  • 0

    Followers

  • 0

    Points

guest416560's Latest Activity

  1. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    From the Wall Street Journal Six months into the Covid-19 pandemic, the U.S. has now carried out two large-scale experiments in public health—first, in March and April, the lockdown of the economy to arrest the spread of the virus, and second, since mid-April, the reopening of the economy. The results are in. Counterintuitive though it may be, statistical analysis shows that locking down the economy didn’t contain the disease’s spread and reopening it didn’t unleash a second wave of infections. Considering that lockdowns are economically costly and create well-documented long-term public-health consequences beyond Covid, imposing them appears to have been a large policy error. At the beginning, when little was known, officials acted in ways they thought prudent. But now evidence proves that lockdowns were an expensive treatment with serious side effects and no benefit to society. TrendMacro, my analytics firm, tallied the cumulative number of reported cases of Covid-19 in each state and the District of Columbia as a percentage of population, based on data from state and local health departments aggregated by the Covid Tracking Project. We then compared that with the timing and intensity of the lockdown in each jurisdiction. That is measured not by the mandates put in place by government officials, but rather by observing what people in each jurisdiction actually did, along with their baseline behavior before the lockdowns. This is captured in highly detailed anonymized cellphone tracking data provided by Google and others and tabulated by the University of Maryland’s Transportation Institute into a “Social Distancing Index.” Measuring from the start of the year to each state’s point of maximum lockdown—which range from April 5 to April 18—it turns out that lockdowns correlated with a greater spread of the virus. States with longer, stricter lockdowns also had larger Covid outbreaks. The five places with the harshest lockdowns—the District of Columbia, New York, Michigan, New Jersey and Massachusetts—had the heaviest caseloads. It could be that strict lockdowns were imposed as a response to already severe outbreaks. But the surprising negative correlation, while statistically weak, persists even when excluding states with the heaviest caseloads. And it makes no difference if the analysis includes other potential explanatory factors such as population density, age, ethnicity, prevalence of nursing homes, general health or temperature. The only factor that seems to make a demonstrable difference is the intensity of mass-transit use. We ran the experiment a second time to observe the effects on caseloads of the reopening that began in mid-April. We used the same methodology, but started from each state’s peak of lockdown and extended to July 31. Confirming the first experiment, there was a tendency (though fairly weak) for states that opened up the most to have the lightest caseloads. The states that had the big Summer flare-ups in the so-called “Sunbelt second wave”—Arizona, California, Florida and Texas—are by no means the most opened up, politicized headlines notwithstanding. The lesson is not that lockdowns made the spread of Covid-19 worse—although the raw evidence might suggest that—but that lockdowns probably didn’t help, and opening up didn’t hurt. This defies common sense. In theory, the spread of an infectious disease ought to be controllable by quarantine. Evidently not in practice, though we are aware of no researcher who understands why not. We’re not the only researchers to have discovered this statistical relationship. We first published a version of these findings in April, around the same time similar findings appeared in these pages. In July, a publication of the Lancet published research that found similar results looking across countries rather than U.S. states. “A longer time prior to implementation of any lockdown was associated with a lower number of detected cases,” the study concludes. Those findings have now been enhanced by sophisticated measures of actual social distancing, and data from the reopening phase. There are experimental controls that all this research lacks. There are no observable instances in which there were either total lockdowns or no lockdowns at all. But there’s no escaping the evidence that, at minimum, heavy lockdowns were no more effective than light ones, and that opening up a lot was no more harmful than opening up a little. So where’s the science that would justify the heavy lockdowns many public-health officials are still demanding? With the evidence we now possess, even the most risk-averse and single-minded public-health officials should hesitate before demanding the next lockdown and causing the next economic recession.
  2. I do not believe paper masks slow the spread of Covid 19 but many people do. I even question social distancing. N95 mask do but most people don't have access yet they still all go shopping. If the thought leaders that be believe you can shop safely at Costco, Wal Mart, Home Depot etc then by all means you can go to your polling place safely. My opinion and yours have zero value in the decision makers decisions. You questioning my credibility makes me giggle like a school girl.
  3. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    Most RNs don't sign death certificates. Even if Dala suspected Drs were doing that she can't prove it as she isn't signing the certificate. I also can't imagine why a RN would need to review a certificate of death in a patient's chart. I'm sorry that some of our contributors lack manners. Adults and nurses should be respectful of each other. This forum proves a few of us refuse to play nicely.
  4. When I wear a mask during a surgical procedure it is to protect the patient from secretions from my nasal or oral cavity. I do not wear a N95 mask unless I'm doing cryosurgery on HPV lesions. We've learned over time that freezing a genital wart can release viral particles that can go straight through a blue surgical mask. To prevent transmission of viral aerosols I would need to wear a N95. I'm more worried about bacteria contamination. I'm not wearing a mask to protect myself. I wear it to protect the patient. I'm assuming you wear a N95 at all times to protect yourself. That is the only one that slow the spread of viral particles.
  5. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-failed-experiment-of-covid-lockdowns-11599000890 Interesting read on how the lockdown didn't slow the spread and how reopenings didn't speed up the spread of Covid
  6. We get it, you hate Trump. Your incessant diatribe is becoming mundane. If you can wear a mask and go to Wal Mart, Home Depot, grocery stores or any other place you visit you can go to your polling place assuming that masks do work and social distancing works
  7. Trump faced heavy criticism this week for suggesting people should try voting twice, first by mail and then in person just in case. He then clarified on Twitter, “On Election Day, or Early Voting, go to your Polling Place to see whether or not your Mail In Vote has been Tabulated (Counted). If it has you will not be able to Vote & the Mail In System worked properly. If it has not been Counted, VOTE (which is a citizen’s right to do).”
  8. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    We had to shut down the cosmetics during the beginning of the pandemic. We followed the rules. General dermatology was still considered essential by Governor Newsom as we also do lots of skin cancer/reconstruction surgeries.
  9. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    I have no desire to sell anything to you regarding data. If you're interested in looking better I can sell you a treatment with my J plasma device. I'm reading data from the CDC. Your experience is your experience and can't be denied or debated. My experience talking among conservative medical professionals is that as a consensus we believe Covid 19 is over reported. The false positives from the PCR test are alarming. Even the NYT full of liberals wrote a piece about it. This link mentions their analysis. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/29/health/coronavirus-testing.html The majority of deaths around the world are from nursing homes/assisted living facilities. https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2020/05/26/nursing-homes-assisted-living-facilities-0-6-of-the-u-s-population-43-of-u-s-covid-19-deaths/#5db47e1274cd We killed the economy to save some lives. We don't know how many people have now died from depression related suicides, physical violence at home, alcoholism and drug abuse because we shut the country down. To me, this is a case of the cure is worse than the illness.
  10. guest416560

    Nancy Pelosi is a hypocrite

    Do you live in SF? If you don't your opinion on the realities of life in the city are about as relevant as the lint in your belly button. Seriously, focus on issues in Alaska. Nancy got caught. She is a hypocrite. Even Don Lemonade at CNN laughed at the hypocrisy.
  11. guest416560

    Nancy Pelosi is a hypocrite

    If you don't live here you can't imagine how bad it really is. Pictures and videos can't describe the smells of rotting feces/urine, dead animals and homeless encampments right outside of businesses. I've been to Tijuana and quite frankly Tijuana is cleaner than Pelosi's district. It's embarrassing to bring friends in from out of town. She owns this along with Governor Gruesome Newsom and our feckless mayor London Breed. They all care about power. They don't care about the people.
  12. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    The system rewards hospitals and physicians with premium payments if Covid is listed as the cause of death. Greed pure and simple. It is probably inflating the Covid death numbers.
  13. If the system works it will catch double voting and throw one out.
  14. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    10,000 people have died directly because of Covid. That’s it. Covid killed them. They were perfectly healthy before Covid and they died because of it and nothing else. These are the 6% Trump is referring The other 94% died because they had Covid and some other disease process. Covid and whatever else they had contributed to their demise. I agree that Covid kills. I haven’t done a death certificate Iin a very long time. My Derm patients don’t expire but yes I’ve signed the Certificates.
  15. When has the country ever done 100% mass mail in balloting? Never to my knowledge . Feel free to vote absentee. The potential for voter fraud with mail in balloting is high. We are a constitutional republic. We are not a true democracy.
  16. guest416560

    CDC states only 10,000 patients died DIRECTLY from Covid

    I'm borrowing this from Herring. It's black and white. Spin it any way you want. Sometimes a student just can't be taught.