Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

Research, communication and leadership are USELESS for the bedside? Do you really believe that?

This is extreme but it does make a point that the BSN is not sufficient to develop well-rounded nursing practice.

Communication, however, may be the most important part of nursing. Not just between the administration and other staff but even more between nurses, each other, and their patients.

Older nurses have a great deal of experience that could be shared with new nurses but that is not a policy that hospital administrations care anything about. Their focus now is just the bottom line. Money. Period

I don't think it extreme at all. I'm not sure most BSN studies lend much to nursing the way they stand. I believe it an attempt to give us more credibility as a profession bit the actual educational experience really has little meaning. I don't think many are fooled

Well said and too true. In California new grads are not getting jobs, we may have tons of FTE positions but they are filled with contract/temp/PD (which I did for a number of years as that was job I could get.)

There is one huge HMO having hospitals which dot the landscape from Riverside to San Francisco which uses contract for half the staff and always will; they may have taken over every other workplace as cheap insurance but they sure avoid providing their staff with anything.

If bedside nursing had been tolerable, I would still be doing it.

To paraphrase a previous poster, there is no real nursing shortage, but there will always be a shortage of people who enjoy being treated like crap.

Amen!

Specializes in Geriatrics, Dialysis.

Any nursing shortage, real or imagined, now or in some projected future seems to be very regional. I read tons of posts here and on other nursing related websites from nurses both new and experienced that are having difficulty finding a job at all in an over saturated market regardless of the degree they hold and I also read posts from nurses in underserved areas that work for facilities that are trying some quite creative incentives to hire nurses that they can't seem to find. I have to admit though that there are far more posts from frustrated nurses looking for work than there are from nurses that are trying to convince other nurses to come and work where they live because of a nursing shortage.

Wages and benefits, or lack thereof seems to be a primary factor in the so called nursing shortage. Wage compression is a very real thing, many experienced nurses and some not so experienced nurses are in a position of needing to "job hop" to gain a higher wage. Hourly wages are starting out higher to get nurses in the door while those that have been employed for years are seeing insignificant raises or no raises at all. I know I don't make very much more than a new hire and am unlikely to see more money from my current employer as my years of service find me maxed out on the wage scale and sadly the top end of that wage scale doesn't compensate the experienced nurse nearly enough in comparison with the new hire. If I wasn't receiving so much vacation time to offset that wage disparity I'd be looking for a job that pays more for sure.

Don't even get me started on the crap benefits. Health insurance is becoming a joke with crazy high premiums and crazy high deductibles that a generally healthy person will never meet during the year. I'm paying about $500.00/month for insurance for my husband and myself that I will most likely not see any benefit from unless God forbid something catastrophic happens. Retirement benefits are lousy, many if not most companies offer a 401k plan but many if not most of those employers don't offer any kind of meaningful company match of 401k funds. If you plan to retire someday with a decent income you're pretty much on your own in financing that retirement plan. Remember a few years back when the stock market crashed and so many people lost their retirement accounts? Many, many people with plans to retire had to change those plans and keep working as they could no longer afford to retire. Through no fault of their own the so-called retirement benefits they had became essentially useless.

I don't think the ADN vs BSN debate that inevitability happens in threads like this makes a bit of difference to most nurses. If you are an employed nurse whatever degree you hold chances are pretty good you'll be able to remain employed. If you are a student or prospective student the BSN route is preferable if it makes financial sense for the student and the regional job market requires it. It's not a cookie cutter one size fits all decision.

However, it will make you more employable as more hospitals seek Magnet status. The MSN on the other hand, does add to your solid nursing education. Again it makes you more employable.

The is no requirement for BSN to obtain magnet status. It is 1 of the biggest lies in nursing next to Joint Commission caring about having a closed bottle at your workstation.

Specializes in Specializes in L/D, newborn, GYN, LTC, Dialysis.

The coming "Shortage" will be exacerbated by several things. Smart, intelligent, forward-thinking millennials who see bedside is a way to burnout and moving on the advanced practice quickly and the mass exodus into retirement, in the next decade or so, of Gen X and Boomer nurses. Also, the ever-increasing sheer numbers of older, fatter, diabetic, multiple organ system failure, multiple-morbidity populations who need lots of care and are "heavy care" to boot. Another problem? Hospitals, in particular, keen to save money---- NOT offering full time, benefitted positions but PRN or Part time with less benefits. Not attractive to the up and coming nurses who, like everyone, have bills to pay and families to feed, clothe and house, and get medical care for.

The whole notion that nursing is a calling is going the way of the dinosaur. People see its ugly underbelly and all the things happening now----- and are not keen to stay in horrible, high nurse-patient ratio, dead-end work that breaks backs as well as banks.

I don't see it as much as a problem of not enough people coming into nursing but enough staying for the ever-worsening conditions faced by the average bedside RN. Many are smart and already taking action to avoid that trap.

It's a perfect storm. And it's looming so close, we can see it. I am worried for all our futures, as nurses and future patients.

My only defense as a rapidly-aging nurse? Losing weight, eating better and paying much closer attention to my health so I can avoid being one of the masses who are "heavy care" and wind up in LTC where care is abysmal.

The is no requirement for BSN to obtain magnet status. It is 1 of the biggest lies in nursing next to Joint Commission caring about having a closed bottle at your workstation.

It's true that the ANCC doesn't have any requirement for hiring BSN-prepared RNs (other than in management positions), but they do have a requirement that hospitals provide evidence of their support for continuing/higher education of the nursing staff (that's a paraphrase, not a direct quote), by setting a goal for themselves and a plan for how to meet that goal, and, because the IOM report recommending 80% BSN-prepared RNs by 2020 (am I remembering the right year?) has gotten so much publicity, many hospitals have jumped on the IOM bandwagon and set that as their goal. So, while it's not true that the ANCC requires hospitals to hire only, or majority, BSN-prepared RNs, it's kind of a moot point at a lot of hospitals; they are, in fact, hiring only, or mostly, BSN-prepared RNs by their own choice, in order to meet the other Magnet requirement, the one that actually does exist.

The is no requirement for BSN to obtain magnet status. It is 1 of the biggest lies in nursing next to Joint Commission caring about having a closed bottle at your workstation.

Yep, there are requirements directly related to the BSN issue, with regard to the goal that Magnet hospitals need to have a plan/show progress toward (or maintain a level of) 80% of RNs (any RNs in any roles) having a BSN. So sayeth not just IOM, but ANCC, as of 2017 Fact sheet.

Check out page 8

Yep, there are requirements directly related to the BSN issue, with regard to the goal that Magnet hospitals need to have a plan/show progress toward (or maintain a level of) 80% of RNs (any RNs in any roles) having a BSN. So sayeth not just IOM, but ANCC, as of 2017 Fact sheet.

Check out page 8

You've posted that ANCC FAQ sheet before, on a thread in October of last year, and people have responded to it before (including me, below):

The FAQs you quote are referring to hospitals that have chosen to set a goal of 80% BSN-prepared nursing staff, and what documentation they need to provide the ANCC once they've met that goal (they need to supply documentation of how they're going to maintain that percentage).

The Magnet program doesn't require any specific percentage of BSN-prepared RNs. It requires that hospitals set a goal for themselves, a goal of their own choosing, that shows they are committed to the ongoing educational development of their nursing staff. A hospital could just as easily set a goal that 75% of their nurses will be certified in their specialties (the ANCC would probably prefer that, actually, since they make money off certifications, and don't make money off nurses returning to school for BSNs ), or anything else that would show an ongoing commitment to the education/professional development of their nursing staff. Since the IOM report recommending 80% BSN-prepared nursing staff by 2020 got so much attention, lots of hospitals have taken the easy, no-brainer route and made that recommendation their goal. But that is the individual hospital's choice.

Magnet FAQ's | UC Davis Nursing (Scroll down to "Do I have to have a BSN to work in a Magnet Hospital?" Page is copyrighted 2017, so, current info)

There's also a nice fact sheet by the AACC, American Association of Commmunity Colleges, about Magnet designation and ADN-prepared nurses (documenting that the Magnet program doesn't mandate any particular proportion of BSN-prepared RNs), but I can't get the link to work. It shows up near the top when I Google "magnet status and bsn requirements."

ETA: Ooops, I see the link didn't copy as a link.

Magnet FAQ's | UC Davis Nursing

Ooooh, this time I was able to get the link to the AACC fact sheet to work.

http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjKiZytouDYAhVkT98KHVRnBs8QFggnMAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fdev.aacc.nche.edu%2FResources%2Faaccprograms%2Fhealth%2Fhpat%2FDocuments%2FRN_F3_magnet.pdf&usg=AOvVaw0xphViDABeLhmbTYtRjqNZ

I'm well aware what I posted before - truth be told, I posted it again because it seemed to apply - and honestly I figured Klone would've rebutted the fact sheet last time around if it didn't apply. :) I didn't remember seeing your rebuttal last time around; sorry for unwittingly prevailing upon you to post it again.

That said, I've reviewed your resources and I don't think that answering the question of whether or not one officially has to have a BSN to work in the hospital is relevant. Anything less than a goal of 100% BSN staff means that someone is working with something less than a BSN, clearly. As for the CC, they have posted a sheet of selected items in hopes their nursing school business doesn't crumble amidst the rumors. They also don't mention the outcomes improvements associated with the BSN issue.

My reason for posting is that regardless, a Magnet-BSN association is certainly not the biggest lie ever known on the face of the earth.

The Magnet program doesn't require any specific percentage of BSN-prepared RNs. It requires that hospitals set a goal for themselves, a goal of their own choosing, that shows they are committed to the ongoing educational development of their nursing staff. A hospital could just as easily set a goal that 75% of their nurses will be certified in their specialties (the ANCC would probably prefer that, actually, since they make money off certifications, and don't make money off nurses returning to school for BSNs ), or anything else that would show an ongoing commitment to the education/professional development of their nursing staff. Since the IOM report recommending 80% BSN-prepared nursing staff by 2020 got so much attention, lots of hospitals have taken the easy, no-brainer route and made that recommendation their goal. But that is the individual hospital's choice.

Thank you for the info.

So they make this easy no-brainer choice while screaming about the nursing shortage?

It seems quite unlikely that, if they could have any number of goals, they are largely choosing a divisive issue right out of the blue without any suggestion of such other than the IOM's statement, when that very choice limits their applicant pool and, I would think, puts even higher demands/expecations on them for things like tuition reimbursement - at least in the short term while ADN employees make the change. Now you're telling me this is supposedly easier than encouraging certifications and getting people certified? We've been getting specialty certifications for years; my very first job out of the gate had a large percentage of the staff possessing the certification credentials associated with that specialty. Now it's easier for them to piss off half the staff, limit their applicant pools while they're going through nurses like toilet paper, and (for right now at least) spend tons of money on tuition reimbursement?

I just finished reading a proprietary article Optimizing All Licensed Staff: Magnet® Standards Require an All-BSN/RN Staff in Hospital Settings by 2020: Truth or Myth?

DOI: 10.1097/NNA.0000000000000191

This is right from the horse's mouth and as you can see from the title, asks the wrong question in order to cleverly discuss this issue. I actually think word for word the first couple of paragraphs are very particular, in a clever sort of way. It also quickly veers into talking about LPNs.

The truth-or-myth in the title is not even the question or the common allegation. The allegation is that there is a very strong suggestion of a goal, and it is a strong enough of a suggestion to compel hospitals to make the changes we're seeing.

My charge is that there's an official answer about this, and also an unofficial answer.

Fine with me either way. I just hate stuff like this that doesn't really even appear to pass the smell test.

Specializes in NICU.

I could not have put it any better,this is truly a very honest view and a correct one.