Addressing the Predicted Nursing Shortage

There is a predicted nursing shortage coming as the baby boomers continue to retire in droves. Nurses General Nursing Article

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allnurses.com staffers were recently fortunate to interview Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health. She has published in the Journal of Nursing Administration and Nursing.com as well as a presentation training the trainer for end of life care. We discussed the predicted nursing shortage.

According to the latest (2017) HRSA report regarding supply and demand:

- Looking at each state's 2030 RN supply minus its 2030 demand reveals both shortages and surpluses in RN workforce in 2030 across the United States. Projected differences between each state's 2030 supply and demand range from a shortage of 44,500 FTEs in California to a surplus of 53,700 FTEs in Florida.

- If the current level of health care is maintained, seven states are projected to have a shortage of RNs in 2030, with four of these states having a deficit of 10,000 or more FTEs, including California (44,500 FTEs), Texas (15,900 FTEs), New Jersey (11,400 FTEs) and South Carolina (10,400 FTEs).

- States projected to experience the largest excess supply compared to demand in 2030 include Florida (53,700 FTEs) followed by Ohio (49,100 FTEs), Virginia (22,700 FTEs) and New York (18,200 FTEs).

With the ever increasing costs of college, how would you convince a young just graduated from high school person to commit to a nursing education?

A college education is an investment. It is an investment in oneself and in one's future. A simple ROI (return on investment) conversation would quickly silence this concern. With diligent financial planning and discipline post-graduation, student loans can be paid off rather quickly. I would also discourage a student's parents from paying for their child's education, as this can delay their own retirement. An education can be financed, a retirement cannot.

As for committing to nursing specifically, first of all, I believe nursing is a calling. Nursing is not a profession for everyone. The student must show true and compassionate interest in the field. Once this was evident, I would vouch for what a career in nursing has to offer. Some benefits include a very flexible schedule, opportunity to pick up extra shifts for extra money, and later on the possibility of advancing into the business and management side of nursing if desired. There are also nursing positions such as school nurses, which would match schedules with the nurse's children, allowing for optimal family balance and avoidance of childcare costs. Furthermore, there are even work at home opportunities in nursing that may prove ideal for some individuals throughout various stages in their life.

Above all, the best reason to go into nursing is making a difference for your patients and having an impact on their health, comfort, and well-being. The reward of helping fellow humans through some of the best and worst times in their life is one that cannot be quantified. Personally, I choose to continue having a bedside presence while teaching nursing for this very reason. The positive humanistic reward is immensely indescribable.

AN recently reported on this topic in our Student Survey: Demographics

As the nursing population ages, many nurses are not BSN-prepared. What do you see as incentives that hospitals could offer in order to "grow their own" BSN nurses?

In my experience, there are two main barriers for ADN (Associate Degree in Nursing) nurses to continue on to their BSN, the first being the cost of the degree and the second being the time to complete it. Many nurses have home life commitments such as children, spouses, adult parents they may be caring for etc. Hospitals can offer a salary incentive to their nurses if they hold a BSN degree or higher. They can also offer tuition reimbursement to their employees predicated on their completion of the degree and a defined employment retention period. If hospitals considered not only paying for the degree but offering to pay the nurses their hourly wage for their classroom time, they would likely have more interest. If the degree was integrated into their nurses' normal weekly schedule, then there would be virtually no reason for the nurses not to complete the degree. It could fall under an education budget.

Above all, hospitals need to convey the reasoning and rationale for encouraging nurses to continue their education. The WIIFM (What's In It For Me) factor of a BSN degree could include gaining knowledge of research article interpretation and leading, disseminating, and integrating evidence-based best practices to their area of nursing. Another would be acquiring knowledge specific to nursing leadership and management. Some nurses may disclose having no interest in climbing the management ladder, however, understanding the avenues of leadership and the organizational structure is still important if one wants to influence change.

If nurses want to have an impact, they need to understand the processes behind the scenes of a hospital. For example, if a unit manager brings a change to his/her staff, part of gaining the staff's buy-in is helping them to understand why the change is being brought upon them. If a nurse has an understanding of how a nursing unit is managed, funded, staffed, etc. then the nurse will likely see the proposed change as making sense and will have a true understanding of the "Why".

Along that same line, what steps could hospitals take to engage and retain older, more experienced nurses that perhaps would like to continue working bedside but on a part-time or PRN basis?

Bedside nursing can be quite demanding, both physically and mentally. Oftentimes, aging nurses may struggle to meet the physical demands of bedside nursing. Offering shorter and less frequent shifts may help with this. Developing clinical nurse specialist roles where senior nurses can mentor and guide younger nurses through chart reviews, bedside assessments, etc. is a way to keep them and their expertise at the bedside, but also pass it along to novice nurses.

With the ever-increasing physician shortage, NPs are becoming the primary care provider in many areas, especially the rural ones. How would you propose to keep BSN nurses at the bedside versus continuing their education?

In all honesty, I would never encourage any nurse not to advance their education. I believe this would be shooting our profession in the foot. Mid-level providers are an excellent avenue for healthcare and when partnered with a physician practice they have proven to have better patient outcomes. Instead, I would encourage young nurses to pursue their BSN degree from the start of their college education. Many nursing schools are turning away qualified applicants because they do not have the faculty capacity to teach more students. So, I believe we should be looking here, at the potential student nurse population to grow the number of bedside nurses. If we want to grow the population of nurses, we need more nursing faculty.

What are you seeing in your area? Is it easy to get a nursing job? Difficult? Have you thought about furthering your education?

Specializes in Psych, Addictions, SOL (Student of Life).

There is no nursing shortage, Predicted or otherwise!

I got my BSN 5 years ago from Clarion University its a Pennsylvania State School. My employer paid $5K annually towards the tuition and I picked up some OT to foot the rest of the bill. I graduated 12 years ago from Community College. This is not ancient information and the pathway is still in use. As far as economics in my backyard. Those are the only ones I'm responsible for, can control and therefore care about. If a nurse goes to a private school and racks up a crushing debt load to get a BSN and then can't get a job in her chosen market perhaps she should have paid a little more attention to backyard economics. Then perhaps she wouldn't be unemployed with thousands of dollars in student loans she has no idea how to pay.

Specializes in Urgent Care, Oncology.

I am obtaining my BSN for two reasons:

1. I signed a contract at my current employer stating that I would obtain my BSN within 3 years of hire. They pay up to $20,000 for school, and I will have only used $2,000 when I finish my BSN. The MSN program I plan on attending is approximately $19,000 so I'd only have to pay $1,000 out of pocket over two years. I would like to teach and/or be a nurse educator so I need to attain higher level degree(s) in order to be able to do so.

2. I need at least a Bachelor's degree in case I choose to pursue a career outside of nursing. I'm having major back problems due to my medical history and back injuries both on and off the job. Many of the jobs I see outside of nursing, such as medical sales or pharmaceutical sales, require at least a Bachelor's degree in something. This is my back-up plan in case nursing education doesn't pan out.

I don't think everybody needs to obtain their BSN. My nurse mentor has worked as a nurse for 31 years - literally as long as I have been alive - and going back to school at her age when she's going to retire in 5-10 years AND is maxed out on salary is kinda pointless.

Specializes in Pediatrics Retired.
There is no nursing shortage, Predicted or otherwise!

Well there IS a nursing shortage! But that burden is carried by and experienced only by those nurses busting their chops on floors where the hospital won't hire and retain adequate staff. There are plenty of competent nurses available for hire; especially now that so many states participate in the license compact.

I got my BSN 5 years ago from Clarion University its a Pennsylvania State School. My employer paid $5K annually towards the tuition and I picked up some OT to foot the rest of the bill. I graduated 12 years ago from Community College. This is not ancient information and the pathway is still in use. As far as economics in my backyard. Those are the only ones I'm responsible for, can control and therefore care about. If a nurse goes to a private school and racks up a crushing debt load to get a BSN and then can't get a job in her chosen market perhaps she should have paid a little more attention to backyard economics. Then perhaps she wouldn't be unemployed with thousands of dollars in student loans she has no idea how to pay.

What you're saying makes no sense. If a nurse is unemployed or underemployed (ex. b/c of precarious employment conditions) and cities/states are swelling to the brim with qualified candidates competing for a consistently small pool of contract/per diem jobs, how is that any nurses' direct design? So, we're asking for it? What you're saying is equivalent to people who victim blame/shame sexual assault victims for wearing "too short a skirt". but i digress... I have nurse friends who have relocated only to experience the same negative paradigm shifts in other cities/states/provinces.

I'm not saying you're responsible for others' backyards, however I am holding you accountable for pontificating to the state of things as a generalization based on your own exclusive experience when it isn't so in most places. Just an FYI. In Canada, we don't have private intuitions that offer Nursing education. Here, Universities and Colleges are public institutions, and although they receive funding from the government they are still allowed to set their own price tag on educational fees. We have no choice. If I had an option as sweet as yours, I would've taken a less expensive route, and many others would have, too.

For the record, I have my RN-BScN, my RPN-Diploma and 2 other degrees as well. I also have a cushy nursing job, but I will still advocate for others because what is happening is a not right and is a detriment to this profession. I will never be complacent or complicit.

Thank you traumaRUs for your time putting together this post. And with all due respect for Audrey Wirth, MSN, RN-BC, CVRN-BC adjunct clinical instructor at Aurora University's School of Nursing and Allied Health's credentials, I'm disappointed she didn't challenge the premises that the costs of education and lack of BSN prepared nurses are somehow critical pieces in the predicted shortage of nurses at the bedside. There isn't, and I doubt there ever will be, a shortage of nurses per se; there is a shortage of positions and conditions attractive enough to get and retain nurses at the bedside. Though I can understand that someone employed by a business that in essence sells degrees would see value in more people buying the product, the answer doesn't lie in graduating more nurses when half of qualified nurses aren't employed at their first job after a year and another third leave the profession entirely in the next five years.

CaffeinePOQ4hPRN and others have said most of what I would say about the systemic problems in organizations where nurses are employed far better than I could. But I take particular issue with the trope - by no means originated by Ms. Wirth - about nursing as a calling. Perhaps I am overly sensitive to the phrase having worked in an organization whose leadership in their own words sought nurses for whom the work was a calling because in management's minds those called nurses would be less concerned about salary, working conditions, and expectations. My experience is that nurses who see their work as a calling often have issues with setting appropriate personal and professional boundaries. Come to think of it, is there any male dominated profession - other than the clergy - that would seek to place that requirement on its ranks?

And seriously, the idea that any health care organization would show by its compensation structure and working conditions that nurses in management are far more valued than nurses at the bedside who are actually providing the service for which the business is paid AND THEN wonder why said nurses are leaving the bedside. . . well, they need to go back to business school.

Specializes in school nurse.

What does EBP say is the best anti-emetic for the inevitable nausea that comes when one reads about "the nursing shortage"?

What does EBP say is the best anti-emetic for the inevitable nausea that comes when one reads about "the nursing shortage"?

A plane ticket to Turks and Caicos? A winning lottery ticket, and permanent fast-track to retirement?

I'm not from Canada. I've never sexually assaulted anybody nor in anyway do I condone or excuse it in any form. However, if a person invests many thousands of dollars and years of time studying to gain a position in a profession and does not look at the economic return on that investment given their particular situation (more backyard economics) shame on them.

:roflmao:

I'm extremely passionate about having shelter and sustenance, so I'm not about to martyr myself anymore to participate in job market peek-a-boo with the Emperor's New Clothes.

ROFLKMFSTS

(rolling on floor laughing kicking my feet scaring the cat)

Specializes in M/S, LTC, Corrections, PDN & drug rehab.
I started as an LPN because hubby was active duty and we moved every 2 years. However, I quickly realized that I was very limited in my scope of practice and job opportunities were quite limited also. So, back to school. As an ADN grad (I graduated in 1994), an RN was an RN. However, nowadays with the continued push by hospitals for Magnet status and the emphasis on having a BSN as entry level, it is becoming harder for ADN RNs to advance past the bedside. Nursing is a second career for me - I graduated when I was in my early 30's and thought I would be a bedside nurse forever - absolutely loved it. However, I found (as you too might find) that as I got older, it was a lot harder. So again, back to school for more options.

I have no desire to get anything above an ADN. I see all the stress & bs being a manager brings. That's a HARD pass! So what will getting my BSN get me? Debt. That's about it. There is no requirement at my hospital for RNs to have their BSN so I have no reason to get it.

Specializes in MICU/CCU, SD, home health, neo, travel.

I agree pretty much with everything that has been posted. I'm retired now, but the "nursing shortage" was predicted many years ago when I was in school.

So was the BSN-only. And my thoughts about that, after 30 years in the field, 28 active, are this...I trained an awful lot of brand new BSNs, and they mostly came out with heads stuffed full of book learning and not one clue about how to take care of a patient. Oh, I'm sure they could write a beautiful care plan, much better than mine from my ADN school days (I remember mine, they were full of red ink when I got them back!), but when it came to putting that into practice, most of them hadn't the first idea where to start. The exceptions were those who had worked as CNAs, and those were darn few. They had watched and listened, and they knew nursing from the ground up. Now when young people ask me about nursing, I tell them to try CNA work first, or maybe even EMT if they're really gung ho, and they if they still like it, go on and get their ADN and *then* work while they get a BSN, maybe even online. A BSN is a nice thing to have for advancement, but not necessarily a good thing to have for a starter. You don't learn how to take care of patients in a BSN program. You learn how to take care of theory. The last place I worked had a good partnership with the state university in town so that your work counted as clinicals. They also reimbursed you if you got a B or better in your courses from anywhere.

As far as a shortage, maybe if our workplaces treated us better, there wouldn't be one. I saw so much when I was a traveler that really made me sick and disgusted with the whole business. I could write a book about it, and maybe I will someday :) What I will say is that the best place I worked had a CNO who had literally risen through the ranks....started out as an RT, went to nursing school and worked the floors, eventually got the advanced degree and went into management and rose to CNO. The nursing culture was completely different at that hospital, and I believe it was *because* they had a CNP who knew what it was all about, from the bottom up. Would that it were like that elsewhere.