Published
The US Consulate in Mumbai published partial data on their advance copy of the May VB.
The Dept. of State will publish the whole thing on their website later on or tomorrow.
EB3 most other countries is March, 2006. EB3 India is Nov. 2001.
fingers crossed it does :heartbeatmy pd is march 07
If you are doing AOS you may not have the result you have in mind.
The people you are comparing with are undergoing consular processing and right now to be honest they are the ones benefiting from the advancements from the cut-off dates and not those undergoing AOS.
I even know quite a few who have 2005 and 2006 PDs who did AOS and their cases aren't even assigned to a USCIS adjudicator yet and asked to call back in a few months because they are 'flooded'.
In fact, the reason why the cut-off dates are moving forward at all is that USCIS are not adjudicating cases at a certain pace to exhaust the 140,000 EB visas by the end of the fiscal year and this is why the Dept.of State is moving the cut-off dates forward so that those undergoing CP can pick up the slack. If USCIS can exhaust all the 140,000 quota per year and with about 800k applications, it will take them about 5 years and there won't be any forward movement at all until then.
The Dept. of State is recognizing the situation much better compared to last year's; this is why even the cyclical forward movement for this year was also much earlier compared from other years where it is usually done in th 2nd half of the fiscal year. This also gives extra time for NVC to send updates to their clients and for their clients to respond on time.
There are basically two simultaneous lines. Line 1 is through USCIS and the other line is through the National Visa Center and the consulates abroad. By moving the dates forward, the DOS is giving both lines equal opportunity to close out cases and right now the USCIS line is totally backlogged because of 800k visa applications filed in July-Aug. 2007 and since very few goes through CP compared to AOS (total cases that are AOS cases are about 90% while only about 10% of all cases goes through CP) those undergoing CP are having their cases being closed out faster.
If you are doing AOS you may not have the result you have in mind.The people you are comparing with are undergoing consular processing and right now to be honest they are the ones benefiting from the advancements from the cut-off dates and not those undergoing AOS.
I even know quite a few who have 2005 and 2006 PDs who did AOS and their cases aren't even assigned to a USCIS adjudicator yet and asked to call back in a few months because they are 'flooded'.
In fact, the reason why the cut-off dates are moving forward at all is that USCIS are not adjudicating cases at a certain pace to exhaust the 140,000 EB visas by the end of the fiscal year and this is why the Dept.of State is moving the cut-off dates forward so that those undergoing CP can pick up the slack. If USCIS can exhaust all the 140,000 quota per year and with about 800k applications, it will take them about 5 years and there won't be any forward movement at all until then.
The Dept. of State is recognizing the situation much better compared to last year's; this is why even the cyclical forward movement for this year was also much earlier compared from other years where it is usually done in th 2nd half of the fiscal year. This also gives extra time for NVC to send updates to their clients and for their clients to respond on time.
There are basically two simultaneous lines. Line 1 is through USCIS and the other line is through the National Visa Center and the consulates abroad. By moving the dates forward, the DOS is giving both lines equal opportunity to close out cases and right now the USCIS line is totally backlogged because of 800k visa applications filed in July-Aug. 2007 and since very few goes through CP compared to AOS (total cases that are AOS cases are about 90% while only about 10% of all cases goes through CP) those undergoing CP are having their cases being closed out faster.
Thank you Lawrence, you explained this very well. It's about time those going thru CP have their day. I have always thought it unfair that there are people who can cut in line and take shortcuts. Never should have been allowed in the first place IMO.
At least AOS applicants are already here in the US. Those going the CP route are waiting patiently in their own countries for years.
If you are doing AOS you may not have the result you have in mind.The people you are comparing with are undergoing consular processing and right now to be honest they are the ones benefiting from the advancements from the cut-off dates and not those undergoing AOS.
I even know quite a few who have 2005 and 2006 PDs who did AOS and their cases aren't even assigned to a USCIS adjudicator yet and asked to call back in a few months because they are 'flooded'.
In fact, the reason why the cut-off dates are moving forward at all is that USCIS are not adjudicating cases at a certain pace to exhaust the 140,000 EB visas by the end of the fiscal year and this is why the Dept.of State is moving the cut-off dates forward so that those undergoing CP can pick up the slack. If USCIS can exhaust all the 140,000 quota per year and with about 800k applications, it will take them about 5 years and there won't be any forward movement at all until then.
The Dept. of State is recognizing the situation much better compared to last year's; this is why even the cyclical forward movement for this year was also much earlier compared from other years where it is usually done in th 2nd half of the fiscal year. This also gives extra time for NVC to send updates to their clients and for their clients to respond on time.
There are basically two simultaneous lines. Line 1 is through USCIS and the other line is through the National Visa Center and the consulates abroad. By moving the dates forward, the DOS is giving both lines equal opportunity to close out cases and right now the USCIS line is totally backlogged because of 800k visa applications filed in July-Aug. 2007 and since very few goes through CP compared to AOS (total cases that are AOS cases are about 90% while only about 10% of all cases goes through CP) those undergoing CP are having their cases being closed out faster.
silly question what does AOS and CP stand for:confused:
lost_stranger
79 Posts
Actually, I am not completely sure about what exactly happened last year, even the expert opinions from various forums seems muddled to me.
You are right that per country allotments are not set in stone and anything can happen.
There are many variables in the equation like what happened last year, like the possibilities of visa recapture for Sch A, a recapture benefitting all employment categories, etc. etc.
But the constant facts are that the per country EB3 visa limits stand at around 2800, that there are many pending Indian EB3 cases, that EB3 ROW is far from being current with 4 more VBs left in the fiscal year and no hope of spill over to Indian EB3. My response was to a query regarding movement for an Indian EB3 PD of Nov. 2005.
PS. I personally hope the variables debunk the constants :nuke: