Published
I saw the alert this AM.
I wonder how many other pts this "healthcare worker" was in contact with.
It makes me think of situations where I worked with "healthcare workers" who do not always follow through with precautions; I'm not saying that has happened, but what if "human error" missing a step, taking off PPE incorrectly, not washing hands, may play a part in these new cases?
Who knows what is going to happen; the other shoe will eventually drop.
These events are transpiring in Dallas, not Houston. But yes, we've definitely got a problem on our hands... a rather lethal problem.I live 30 miles west of Dallas Presby, the hospital where Thomas Eric Duncan was treated and eventually met his demise. We are in for some scary times.
It was a homage to the Apollo 13 space flight.
I am wondering if it isn't someone in the ED that first saw him...now the question is....how many patients did those healthcare workers see from patient 0...Thomas Eric DuncanI saw the alert this AM.
I wonder how many other pts this "healthcare worker" was in contact with.
It makes me think of situations where I worked with "healthcare workers" who do not always follow through with precautions; I'm not saying that has happened, but what if "human error" missing a step, taking off PPE incorrectly, not washing hands, may play a part in these new cases?
Who knows what is going to happen; the other shoe will eventually drop.
Then how many people did those people see....
Then how many people that saw the people who came in contact with the ED patient saw people...
Our mobile crowded world isn't made for containing a contagion
I'm still not overly concerned at this point. The patient came in contact with what, almost 100 people? Only 1 so far is exhibiting symptoms. It does concern me it was a medical worker (who should have been taking better precautions), but 1% transmission rate is pretty containable, imo.
I am not so sure how containable it is.....new papers show it is increasing.
https://asunews.asu.edu/20140911-ebola-transmission-rate-researchNew research from Arizona State University and the University of Tokyo that analyzes transmission rates of Ebola in West African countries shows how rapidly the disease is spreading......Country-specific analysis of transmission rates in Liberia and Sierra Leone showed on average between one and two new cases for every existing case.
“Our analysis of the reproduction numbers of Ebola cases shows continuous growth from June to August 2014 that signaled a major epidemic,” Nishiura said. “Uncontrolled cross-border transmission could fuel a major epidemic to take off in new geographical areas, as was seen in Liberia.”
Rates of transmission increased from June to July in Sierra Leone and Liberia, from 1.4 to 1.7 respectively for every existing case. The statistical analysis is detailed in the paper “Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease, West Africa, March to August 2014,” published today in Eurosurveillance.
My concern is more for the panic and resulting chaos from the panic....Americans are not well prepared to self sustain. Look at Hurricane Katrina, and more recently Hurricane Sandy. With Hurricane Sandy, people were without electricity for a week or so and panicked...That is what worries me.
Regardless, my thoughts and prayers go out to that nurse, her family, and all of her co-workers. I pray that they are able to find comfort and healing in this time of stress and fear.
I am 1000+ miles north of Texas in an area that is not by any means a major land/air transportation hub, so the risk of a major outbreak hitting up here is reasonably small. That being said, I really wish the odds of an outbreak in Texas were equally small! Not only for the fine residents of that great state, but quite selfishly for myself and my family. Once this starts to really spread there will be no stopping it, we are simply too mobile a culture for geographical containment to be effective.
Esme12, ASN, BSN, RN
20,908 Posts
And so it begins....
http://abcnews.go.com/Health/texas-health-care-worker-tests-positive-ebola/story?id=26135108