No Nursing Shortage At The Present Time

Despite rampant claims of a critical nursing shortage, many cities and states in the US are actually suffering from the opposite problem: a surplus of nurses. The intended purpose of this article is to challenge the widespread belief that a current nursing shortage exists. Nurses Announcements Archive Article

I am assured that some of you are reading this and saying to yourselves, "Duh! This topic is old hat. We already know there's a glut of nurses in many parts of the country, so why are you writing about this?"

Here is my reason for writing about the current surplus of nurses in local employment markets. I entered the term 'nursing shortage' into a popular search engine and yielded nearly 720,000 results. Afterward, I searched for the phrase 'no nursing shortage' using the same search engine and received about 59,000 results. Since the loud warnings of a dire nursing shortage are being hollered everywhere, I am going to do my part and shout some information that contradicts these claims.

Hospitals began experiencing a shortage of nurses in 1998, according to the American Hospital Association in 2002 (Ostrow, 2012). Colleges and universities aggressively responded to this shortage by expanding their existing nursing programs and/or starting new schools of nursing. Johnson & Johnson started an ad campaign to entice more people into the profession. Healthcare facilities responded to the shortage by offering more perks such as tuition reimbursement and scholarships to current employees.

Well, those efforts to increase the total number of nurses in the US have been wildly successful. The number of full-time nurses grew by about 386,000 from 2005 to 2010 and about a third of the growth occurred as unemployment rose to a high of 10 percent during that period, according to a report published in the New England Journal of Medicine (Ostrow, 2012). But still, the study raises an intriguing question: How did the nation go from a shortage to, if not a surplus, then at least an apparently adequate supply of nurses? (Rovner, 2011).

The federal government helped by increasing the funding for nursing programs to a whopping $240 million, up from $80 million in 2001. The proliferation of accelerated bachelor of science in nursing (BSN) degree programs and direct-entry master of science in nursing (MSN) degree programs also contributed to the rapid increase in the number of new nurses because students who hold non-nursing degrees can complete these training programs in 12 to 18 months.

The slumping economic situation in the US also contributed to the easing of the nursing shortage. Seasoned nurses are not retiring because many saw their retirement funds dwindle during the economic crisis of 2008. Other nurses have become breadwinners and accepted full-time positions once their spouses were laid off during the Great Recession. Some nurses are coming out of retirement and reactivating their nursing licenses. Moreover, masses of people lost health insurance benefits after becoming unemployed, which leads to reduced patient census in places that provide nursing care.

Thirty-six percent of nursing graduates in the class of 2011 had not secured positions as registered nurses (RNs) as of last fall, according to a survey conducted by the National Student Nurses' Association in September (Griswold, 2012). Of course, some states are afflicted with a worse glut of nurses than others. More than four out of ten (43 percent) of California nurses, who were newly licensed as registered nurses in the previous 18 months, say they could not find a job, according to a recent survey paid for by the California Institute for Nursing & Health Care (CVBT, 2012).

Experts predict that a nursing shortage will peak in the US in 2020. While these projections may turn out to be accurate, keep in mind that this country is continually producing record numbers of new nurses each year. Still, the nursing shortage of the late 1990s appears to have eased.

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There is a large group of unemployed nurses who aren't willing to make the sacrifices to find a job. The same way you sacrificed in nursing school is the same way you need to sacrifice to find a job. Sacrifice is apart of life. A BSN doesn't make you immune to this. Nor does any other advanced degree. If you had to relocate to even get into nursing school, why is it such a shock you may have to relocate to find a job? Clearly this is a competitive game. I realize people have children and spouses, preferences, obligations, whatever, whatever, whatever. But it is what it is.

You know what, I think the large majority of unemployed nurses understand all of this already... if they are newly graduated they learn this quickly. I think there could be a minority who have someone else paying the bills - your words might apply to these people, but most have some serious financial responsibilities after their nursing education and are acutely aware of sacrifice. :icon_roll

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
With more applicants competing for fewer positions, the obvious effect is downward pressure on wages.
Exactly. In a nutshell, this is called wage deflation, where the nursing pay rates actually remain stagnant or decrease even though the cost of living is increasing. Since nurses have become a dime a dozen during these past few years, companies can get away with paying less.
Specializes in Trauma.
Exactly. In a nutshell, this is called wage deflation, where the nursing pay rates actually remain stagnant or decrease even though the cost of living is increasing. Since nurses have become a dime a dozen during these past few years, companies can get away with paying less.

This is a part of the reason the trades pay so well now. Fewer people willing to be become plumbers, electricians, etc and the pay keeps rising, when people flood a certain job market such as nursing or computer programming the pay falls, or does not keep up with inflation.

Anyone who has lost their job knows that there is no shortage. However with many dark spots on my record I have always succeeded in getting a job after a month or so because I did not give up and have often run into people who remembered me from the past and knew that I could get the job done. In other words until I actually had a job I kept applying and going for interviews. Every person in the world is going to clik with one person or another..you just have to stay positive.
But without experience, it is getting hard to stay positive.
This is a part of the reason the trades pay so well now. Fewer people willing to be become plumbers, electricians, etc and the pay keeps rising, when people flood a certain job market such as nursing or computer programming the pay falls, or does not keep up with inflation.

Yes and the really skilled trades there is huge demand. The US is lacking in truly skilled trades people. In the Chicago area, we have been flooded as of the last few years with Polish/Russian immigrants.

The entire family comes, lots are trades people. They stay within their own cultural network and when I shop I see them dropping huge cash on luxe items (it absolutely amazes me in this economy). They often pay in cash. There are more and more ads for healthcare positions requiring fluent Polish/Russian - not because the patients don't speak English (they all do fluently), it's because they keep with their own community. Polish physicians are often able to make some big bucks and remain independent of the big hospital networks due to their exclusive marketability.

When I worked for a private practice a few years back, often payment of thousands was in cash from these folks. Yup the IRS never sees a penny from some I suspect. Funny thing though, the doc I worked for had Polish parents, but he was as American as they come himself - didn't speak a word of Polish. We laughed all the time at how we got so much biz just because of his last name.

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
Yes and the really skilled trades there is huge demand. The US is lacking in truly skilled trades people.
I'm only speculating, but here is why I think the US is lacking in people who know who to perform the skilled trades.

1. School officials, politicians, and some parents have discouraged teenagers and young adults from doing 'manual labor.' An entire generation of young adults has been encouraged to attend college or universities when some of them are not college material. However, what can you realistically do with a BA degree in theater arts, literature, philosophy, etc.?

2. As recently as a generation ago, students were tracked into educational pathways based on their test scores and career aspirations. High schools once had vocational paths where students who became disengaged with regular courses could train to become welders, chefs, drafters, auto mechanics, computer office clerks, cosmetologists, manicurists, nursing assistants, and even LPNs. Vocational tracks have mostly disappeared from high schools, and these disengaged students are now forced to sit in college-prep high school courses.

3. An unspoken stigma exists regarding factory work, plumbing, mechanical and electrical work, and any work done with the hands. Many of today's unemployed college graduates would not be caught dead with a hammer or wrench in their hands. However, this type of work builds character, and not everyone is capable of doing it.

Specializes in Forensic Psych.

My peers and I who went directly into full-time college after high school graduated right in time for the economy to crash. We're full of debt and degrees in Psychology, English, Theatre, and French. At one time just HAVING a degree was enough to get some sort of job, regardless of your major Now...not so much.

Our school district has a thriving vocational program on its own campus. You can get your cosmetology license, work with airlines, early education centers, you can become a mechanic or welder, or become a certified medical assistant. But who would encourage a good student to take these paths? Looking back, I wish someone would've directed me there. Odds are, it would've been a temporary path, but I would've had a skill/verification to work with while I navigated my way to figuring out who I was and what I wanted, instead of wasting my mother's money studying psychology, theatre, and philosophy.

My husband started working as a skilled tradesman and was making 6 figures when he was 20 years old, and he only has his GED.

I already know I'll be encouraging my children in a different way as they get older. I'm not against education, even just for personal enrichment, but when my husband was laid off in 2009 and we didn't have a roof over our heads, my random education did us no good. When we finally recovered financially, it wasn't because of my random education. It was because of his skills. Had I even had an MA certification, it could've done me far more good.

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
But who would encourage a good student to take these paths? Looking back, I wish someone would've directed me there.
I was a good high school student who graduated with a 3.5 GPA in a college prep track with a couple of honors/AP courses. Although I had been accepted to three regional state universities, my parents refused to cosign any student loans or provide any financial information for the FAFSA. My parents have no education beyond high school and saw no value in me attending university.

I ended up not attending college immediately after high school. Instead, I worked a string of dead-end retail jobs and a couple of direct care staff positions for two years. At age 20, I was hired at a paper factory and toiled there for three years while saving almost every penny. At age 23, I took the plunge and quit the factory job to attend a 12-month LVN program full time. After a few years of working as an LVN I earned my RN license.

I'm now 31 years old, and while I am not rich, I am financially comfortable. I have minimal student loan debt, two older vehicles that I own outright, a modest house with a tiny mortgage of less than $400 per month, and plenty of money left over after the bills are paid.

For the longest time I resented my parents for refusing to help me with my goal of attending the university. However, everything happens for a reason, and it was a blessing in disguise because I am not saddled with intractable student loan debt and a lite humanities degree.

Specializes in Hospice / Ambulatory Clinic.
Exactly. In a nutshell, this is called wage deflation, where the nursing pay rates actually remain stagnant or decrease even though the cost of living is increasing. Since nurses have become a dime a dozen during these past few years, companies can get away with paying less.

Yep nothing like being flattered when recruiters are calling you for job and then finding out they'd like to pay you less not more than you are currently getting paid. Talk about a hard sell but someone must be biting.

Specializes in Hospice / Ambulatory Clinic.

2. As recently as a generation ago, students were tracked into educational pathways based on their test scores and career aspirations. High schools once had vocational paths where students who became disengaged with regular courses could train to become welders, chefs, drafters, auto mechanics, computer office clerks, cosmetologists, manicurists, nursing assistants, and even LPNs. Vocational tracks have mostly disappeared from high schools, and these disengaged students are now forced to sit in college-prep high school courses.

Y'know when I left NZ they had a pretty good way of handling high school similar to he above. In fifth form (10th grade/sophomore) you sat for your school certificate which was roughly equivalent to your GED. After that you were free to leave high school (provided you were 16 which was the age of adulthood) or you were eligible to enter some trade schools. If you took one more year and sat for your sixth form certificate you were eligible to enter into a polytechnic which included nursing and IT etc. If you stayed for the final year you took university entrance.

There was also a second way of getting into university if you were 20+ and had 2 years of full time work experience in any field you could gain provisional entrance to the university where you were on probation for the first semester. If you passed your classes you were a regular student.

Specializes in Hospice / Ambulatory Clinic.

For the longest time I resented my parents for refusing to help me with my goal of attending the university. However, everything happens for a reason, and it was a blessing in disguise because I am not saddled with intractable student loan debt and a lite humanities degree.

Even if they did support you it doesn't mean it would have turned out any better. My parents placed too much value on a university education because neither of them had one. I applied for law school and was barely accepted my mother sent in my deposit check and made the decision for me. I was miserable and out of my league. I had wanted to take fashion design courses (something I did once moving to the US) but my dad sneered at me asking "What are you going to do sew clothes in a factory?" The irony is my father had gone through an apprenticeship when he was 14 to become an aircraft mechanic something that would have kept him in a better lifestyle had he kept with it instead of always trying to chase that white collar dream.

Specializes in Peds/outpatient FP,derm,allergy/private duty.
I don't mean to be evil, but it seems like some people want nursing schools to put a big fat blinking sign outside the door that says, "Warning. You may pay us 50,000 for this education and find yourself without a job. Proceed with caution". :redlight: Then you will probably have people who say, "Oh I came in the back door. I didn't see the sign. This is so unfair". Nurses, it's OK to use critical thinking when not in uniform.

If it seems that way to you, perhaps it's because the belief that there is a nursing shortage is deeply ingrained in the culture and has been for decades. For the most part, the institutions who have deep pockets and the ear of popular media have something to lose by telling the truth about the situation for new grads. We started noticing this trend on allnurses around 4 years ago and it is just now slowly making it's way into the public discourse among academics and researchers, and in trade publications geared toward the healthcare education industry. The vast majority of the public and probably most people just now starting to think about nursing as a career still believes there is a shortage.

I can't really speculate about the large number of unemployed nurses who aren't willing to make sacrifices to find a job that you mentioned, because I'm not seeing it here. Maybe they just don't post on nursing message boards.

If everyone who posts here were carrying a neon sign saying "there is no nursing shortage" it would still be a very tiny blip on the screen compared to what the average prospective student hears from both the business and academic power brokers. Thanks for giving us permission to use critical thinking when not in uniform, though. I was just about to run across the room with scissors in my hand.