No Nursing Shortage At The Present Time

Despite rampant claims of a critical nursing shortage, many cities and states in the US are actually suffering from the opposite problem: a surplus of nurses. The intended purpose of this article is to challenge the widespread belief that a current nursing shortage exists. Nurses Announcements Archive Article

I am assured that some of you are reading this and saying to yourselves, "Duh! This topic is old hat. We already know there's a glut of nurses in many parts of the country, so why are you writing about this?"

Here is my reason for writing about the current surplus of nurses in local employment markets. I entered the term 'nursing shortage' into a popular search engine and yielded nearly 720,000 results. Afterward, I searched for the phrase 'no nursing shortage' using the same search engine and received about 59,000 results. Since the loud warnings of a dire nursing shortage are being hollered everywhere, I am going to do my part and shout some information that contradicts these claims.

Hospitals began experiencing a shortage of nurses in 1998, according to the American Hospital Association in 2002 (Ostrow, 2012). Colleges and universities aggressively responded to this shortage by expanding their existing nursing programs and/or starting new schools of nursing. Johnson & Johnson started an ad campaign to entice more people into the profession. Healthcare facilities responded to the shortage by offering more perks such as tuition reimbursement and scholarships to current employees.

Well, those efforts to increase the total number of nurses in the US have been wildly successful. The number of full-time nurses grew by about 386,000 from 2005 to 2010 and about a third of the growth occurred as unemployment rose to a high of 10 percent during that period, according to a report published in the New England Journal of Medicine (Ostrow, 2012). But still, the study raises an intriguing question: How did the nation go from a shortage to, if not a surplus, then at least an apparently adequate supply of nurses? (Rovner, 2011).

The federal government helped by increasing the funding for nursing programs to a whopping $240 million, up from $80 million in 2001. The proliferation of accelerated bachelor of science in nursing (BSN) degree programs and direct-entry master of science in nursing (MSN) degree programs also contributed to the rapid increase in the number of new nurses because students who hold non-nursing degrees can complete these training programs in 12 to 18 months.

The slumping economic situation in the US also contributed to the easing of the nursing shortage. Seasoned nurses are not retiring because many saw their retirement funds dwindle during the economic crisis of 2008. Other nurses have become breadwinners and accepted full-time positions once their spouses were laid off during the Great Recession. Some nurses are coming out of retirement and reactivating their nursing licenses. Moreover, masses of people lost health insurance benefits after becoming unemployed, which leads to reduced patient census in places that provide nursing care.

Thirty-six percent of nursing graduates in the class of 2011 had not secured positions as registered nurses (RNs) as of last fall, according to a survey conducted by the National Student Nurses' Association in September (Griswold, 2012). Of course, some states are afflicted with a worse glut of nurses than others. More than four out of ten (43 percent) of California nurses, who were newly licensed as registered nurses in the previous 18 months, say they could not find a job, according to a recent survey paid for by the California Institute for Nursing & Health Care (CVBT, 2012).

Experts predict that a nursing shortage will peak in the US in 2020. While these projections may turn out to be accurate, keep in mind that this country is continually producing record numbers of new nurses each year. Still, the nursing shortage of the late 1990s appears to have eased.

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Specializes in Trauma.
Neither would I, but unless something is done to break the academic gap between non-white and minority students things cannot and will not get better on their own.

Historically the way they correct gaps in the US has been to lower standards, not pull the other groups up. Look at college athletics as an example. The public schools lowered their admission standards to recruit athletes that would not normally qualify for admission. Did this actually help with the educational standards in America? How many remedial classes do these students have to take to even get into college level classes?

Even the military does it. They reduced physical standards when they started allowing women to serve. Eventually women will be allowed into Combat Arms jobs with lower physical standards.

Specializes in PACU, LTC, Med-Surg, Telemetry, Psych.
Historically the way they correct gaps in the US has been to lower standards, not pull the other groups up. Look at college athletics as an example. The public schools lowered their admission standards to recruit athletes that would not normally qualify for admission. Did this actually help with the educational standards in America? How many remedial classes do these students have to take to even get into college level classes?

Even the military does it. They reduced physical standards when they started allowing women to serve. Eventually women will be allowed into Combat Arms jobs with lower physical standards.

The bottom line in all this is labor cost. I remember back in the day, if you were a nurse you made bank and were guaranteed a job. Heck, back in 00 there were even agencies where you could go to Hawaii as a CNA!

Supply and demand. If you increase the supply, as an employer you get to choose more of the best candidates for cheap. It is an awesome situation for employers. No facility owner wants to deal with someone who can lose their job then get a better paying job with bonuses the next day. It is hard to motivate and control them in that situation. This has already happened in IT/computers. When my dad got into that, if you had a two year degree you were making bank. Now, with IT flooded, on DICE (IT industry board like allnurses) the employers are literally asking for and getting Masters Degrees with 5 certs just for phone jobs you could have gotten with a HS diploma a decade back. Of course, just like nursing, web content article writers still harp on "IT shortage".

I am predicting the same for nursing. I still maintain we will be looking at degree inflation and wages which will stagnate or go down.

Specializes in Trauma.
The bottom line in all this is labor cost. I remember back in the day, if you were a nurse you made bank and were guaranteed a job. Heck, back in 00 there were even agencies where you could go to Hawaii as a CNA!

Supply and demand. If you increase the supply, as an employer you get to choose more of the best candidates for cheap. It is an awesome situation for employers. No facility owner wants to deal with someone who can lose their job then get a better paying job with bonuses the next day. It is hard to motivate and control them in that situation. This has already happened in IT/computers. When my dad got into that, if you had a two year degree you were making bank. Now, with IT flooded, on DICE (IT industry board like allnurses) the employers are literally asking for and getting Masters Degrees with 5 certs just for phone jobs you could have gotten with a HS diploma a decade back. Of course, just like nursing, web content article writers still harp on "IT shortage".

I am predicting the same for nursing. I still maintain we will be looking at degree inflation and wages which will stagnate or go down.

BINGO!! I could not agree more. The nursing industry needs to tighten up on its own. I constantly read nurse's posting about how underpaid they are, but they are the very same nurses that squawk when a suggestion is made to require all nurses (RN) to eventually have a BSN. Rather than talk about unions talk about making the standards higher so the hospitals must compete for your employment. When I first entered the Navy, hospitals around here were paying sign-on bonuses, retention bonuses, and/or paying off student loans or paying tuition. If nurses want more respect from patients then require more education than the patient's dimwit cousin that has an Associates in Graphic Design, or Cosmetology. If you want more respect from management don't be so easy to replace. Of course the hospitals are going to back the Dr's most of the time, it is much harder to replace a doctor. If a nurse gets PO'd and walks out the door they have 100 nurse's applications in HR from people willing to take your place.

My ex sister-in-law got into IT when there was a hiring boom, today she works in another field because she cannot live off what they currently pay.

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
The nursing industry needs to tighten up on its own.
I totally agree. The nursing profession is shooting itself in the foot because it is so easy to become a nurse in this day and age. The options are endless.

In addition, other professions tightly control the number of people that they allow in, which artificially maintains the pay rates and status of its members. Nursing is not doing a good job at this gatekeeping process. Since everyone and their mama has become a nurse within the past few years, wages have stagnated and working conditions have eroded. After all, management is now cognizant that a nurse is a dime a dozen and easily replaceable.

I totally agree. The nursing profession is shooting itself in the foot because it is so easy to become a nurse in this day and age. The options are endless.

In addition, other professions tightly control the number of people that they allow in, which artificially maintains the pay rates and status of its members. Nursing is not doing a good job at this gatekeeping process. Since everyone and their mama has become a nurse within the past few years, wages have stagnated and working conditions have eroded. After all, management is now cognizant that a nurse is a dime a dozen and easily replaceable.

Oh I don't know about all that.

Maybe back in the 1980's when you could go to a local CUNY (City University of New York) community college and get in with a 2.5 GPA, graduate at or with the same average, then take the boards it *might* be considered "easy" to become a nurse (it wasn't then, but we're not on that right now), but today is a far different story.

At least in the NYC area one needs to be at or >3.0 in the pre-nursing sequence to even have a shot at getting into any program. You'll also need good to excellent SAT, or NLN scores as well since many programs now use a formula that bases entry upon a mixture of GPA and tests results. Once in you're going to have to work hard to remain with little margin for error. It only takes failing by a point or percentage thereof to get bounced out of a program.

Yes, it does seem like everyone and their mother wants to become a nurse these days, however to their credit many programs one has seen around here have tightened up entry and retention requirements. Hunter-Bellevue now tells you straight up front on their website that there are only 100 slots for entry and competition is keen.

As for wages, well am not going to stir that pool but will say that the average starting salary for a new grad ADN nurse (if she or her can find a gig) runs about $73K plus bennies. That is not too shabby a salary for an associate degree graduate.

Here in NYC wages may be down and there may be an over supply due to several factors.

First you have had about ten or more hospitals close since 2007 or so. This includes the entire NYC Saint Vinny's/Catholic Hospital system beginning with Saint Vinny's Mid-Town (the former Saint Clare's), then Cabrini, continuing to the facilities located in Queens then finally The Village campus as well. In additon to hospitals nursing homes both Catholic and not have been shutting down as well. To put it bluntly we've lost and are loosing many facilities which is putting experienced nurses out of work.

Places could absorb these out of work nurses and many new grads if staffing were to increase. However facilities have their own reasons for not increasing in that area (low census, poor reimbursement rates, etc...) so you're often spreading fewer nurses around.

As for wages and stagnation, well welcome to the world most of us work in today. Hardly anyone is getting any sort of meaningful raise other than what amounts to a CofL increase. Step out of line and you are told you can be replaced before your desk is cold.

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
Oh I don't know about all that.

Maybe back in the 1980's when you could go to a local CUNY (City University of New York) community college and get in with a 2.5 GPA, graduate at or with the same average, then take the boards it *might* be considered "easy" to become a nurse (it wasn't then, but we're not on that right now), but today is a far different story.

I do not know about the Northeast, but many states in the South, Midwest, and West are home to nursing programs offered at grossly expensive for-profit trade schools where one can get admitted with no prerequisites. All they must do is pass an easy entrance exam such as the TABE or the NET.

So, yes, many people in today's society have not had to struggle to become nurses.

Specializes in Trauma.
Oh I don't know about all that.

Maybe back in the 1980's when you could go to a local CUNY (City University of New York) community college and get in with a 2.5 GPA, graduate at or with the same average, then take the boards it *might* be considered "easy" to become a nurse (it wasn't then, but we're not on that right now), but today is a far different story.

At least in the NYC area one needs to be at or >3.0 in the pre-nursing sequence to even have a shot at getting into any program. You'll also need good to excellent SAT, or NLN scores as well since many programs now use a formula that bases entry upon a mixture of GPA and tests results. Once in you're going to have to work hard to remain with little margin for error. It only takes failing by a point or percentage thereof to get bounced out of a program.

As for wages, well am not going to stir that pool but will say that the average starting salary for a new grad ADN nurse (if she or her can find a gig) runs about $73K plus bennies. That is not too shabby a salary for an associate degree graduate.

After reading today about a 300 sq ft. apt. renting for $2000 a month in NYC I don't see 73K a year as such great pay.

What you say about the admission requirements for NYC programs are the same for my area,the Southeast. I was turned down from one program with a 3.2 gpa and 8 years of experience. Al programs here require a 2.75 to apply, but you won't get in with that gpa. I also scored well on my admission test. If you score under 74.5 on a test you have to remediate that test. If your final grade in a class is below 74.5 you are immediately dropped from the nursing program.

After reading today about a 300 sq ft. apt. renting for $2000 a month in NYC I don't see 73K a year as such great pay.

What you say about the admission requirements for NYC programs are the same for my area,the Southeast. I was turned down from one program with a 3.2 gpa and 8 years of experience. Al programs here require a 2.75 to apply, but you won't get in with that gpa. I also scored well on my admission test. If you score under 74.5 on a test you have to remediate that test. If your final grade in a class is below 74.5 you are immediately dropped from the nursing program.

Yes, rent/housing costs here are high, and hospitals/facilites bemoan the fact they must take this into account when recuriting not just nurses but physicans and other staff as well. NYP just built some new housing but not every nurse wants to live in a "nurse's residence".

Sure, $70K plus isn't "great" but it sure beats some of the other starting salaries for college graduates around here. Even those with four year degrees often start out less.

I do not know about the Northeast, but many states in the South, Midwest, and West are home to nursing programs offered at grossly expensive for-profit trade schools where one can get admitted with no prerequisites. All they must do is pass an easy entrance exam such as the TABE or the NET.

So, yes, many people in today's society have not had to struggle to become nurses.

Am not saying every NY area program is perfect. The Swedish Massage Insitute recently started a nursing program and the former Saint Vinny's programs are now St. Paul's and run by a for profit trade school group.

What often does happen in NYC though is better facilities are very picky whom they hire. The interview/recruitment process is pretty decent in weeding out those a place deems won't work out.

Specializes in Case mgmt., rehab, (CRRN), LTC & psych.
I feel anyone can learn math and science if they want.

I am a black female who has been struggling with math since my earliest elementary school years. Although I have been attempting to 'buckle down' and learn it, basic concepts seem to baffle me. Despite doing well in a college-prep track at a public high school, I have always had to take remedial math courses at community colleges. This is after having taken four years of college-prep math in high school.

And since these remedial (developmental) courses are taught with the approach that "you learned this in the distant past, but have forgotten it," I become even more confused. I did not learn many of the topics that are being presented in the remedial courses, so I do not even have a basic framework.

Math is a very rational and sequential subject, which means that one cannot learn higher level topics without having first mastered the basics. I have struggled for many years to grasp the basics, and until I learn the more basic math, the higher level stuff (read: algebra) continues to mystify me.

College-level math is also a gatekeeper of sorts, so I will not be able to earn a BSN or higher until I can successfully conquer this feat.

This just reinforces the fact that "we" the nursing community is not acting as a "gate keeper" in keeping the graduating number DOWN. If these grads aren't good enough to hire, they shouldn't have been admitted. Supply.and.Demand.

Am not saying every NY area program is perfect. The Swedish Massage Insitute recently started a nursing program and the former Saint Vinny's programs are now St. Paul's and run by a for profit trade school group.

What often does happen in NYC though is better facilities are very picky whom they hire. The interview/recruitment process is pretty decent in weeding out those a place deems won't work out.

Specializes in Oncology; medical specialty website.
You should make batches of it in your office if it ever comes to that -- the smell of caramel popcorn is so irresistible the old bats who finally got out of the way will all come back! --- no not that!!!! :eek: :)

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