Quote from Jules A
Do you know what the growth of NP programs and number of new grads yearly from NP schools
is projected to be?
Actually I dug these up but would like to see what others have found if contradictory.
"Primary Care Nurse Practitioners (NPs) The primary care NP supply is projected to outpace demand at the national level if NPs are utilized in the same way in the future. • Approximately 57,330 primary care NPs were active in the U.S. workforce in 2013. Assuming continuation of current training levels and workforce participation patterns, the supply of NPs is expected to grow by 53,210 FTEs – from 57,330 FTEs in 2013 to 110,540 FTEs in 2025 – a 93 percent increase. • The national demand for primary care NPs is projected to grow by 10,710 FTEs – from 57,330 FTEs in 2013 to 68,040 FTEs in 2025 – a 19 percent increase. Projected changes in supply and demand for primary care NPs vary by region. • Distributional imbalances in primary care NP supply and demand are projected at the regional level. • While primary care NP supply is expected to exceed demand in all U.S. Census Bureau regions, the 2025 oversupply is expected to be greatest in the South region (18,070 FTEs)."
"An estimated 23,000 new NPs completed their academic programs in 2015-2016"
From: AANP - NP Fact Sheet
I am tired of the negativity on this forum. I don't share this view and I also want to encourage good NP candidates.
There is indeed a maldistribution of all primary care providers, as your source noted. That means there are good opportunities for people willing to relocate.
There is another caveat in the source you cited, which is if NPs continue to be utilized as they are now. More and more states are giving NPs full practice authority. That, coupled with the lack of primary care MDs, is a significant factor and we do not yet know how this will play out.
Personally, I want good people to choose nurse practitioner as a career, so I want to encourage them. In the USA, there is no guarantee of employment. We generally have a competitive employment market, so the best will get hired. Not all med school grads get matched, either. We currently have a glut of lawyers, but the best law school grads get hired.
While I share the concern that there are too many subpar NP programs, I am not interested in discouraging qualified NP candidates, especially those who are willing to work in under served areas. The best NP grads will get jobs, along with those who are willing to go where the work is.