Published
Due to circumstances beyond my control, computer glitch (?), the length
of the former thread (Thread 2), and the tremendous amount of new
information coming in at this time, it is probably necessary to start a new
thread on Avian Influenza Awareness.
I pulled out the following commentary from an earlier thread regarding
a rather chilling video (at least to me), given by Dr. Margaret Chan. The
information is not current as the video was shot in February 2007, but
what she has to say is still pertinent considering how much further the
spread of H5N1 has grown. It is now on three continents with a CFR (case
fatality rate) for human beings of over 60%. It is still however, primarily
a bird disease, but that may be changing.
From Margaret Chan MD, Director-General of the World Health Organization:
I did not attend the CIDRAP Conference in February, 2007 where this video
was shown. I almost got there, but changed my plans at the last minute.
Dr. Chan will appear in a screen to your right. You do not have to press
any buttons, just wait for the screen to appear, and for her presentation
to begin. You do not have to be a subscriber for the video to play.
Just be patient for a few seconds and view it.
I have to say that even though everything Dr. Chan is saying in this
presentation is well known to me, just hearing her speak so
clearly and honestly of what might occur, has shaken me. Though
many who research this information will say that her estimates
of the possible future cases may be too conservative, the numbers are
still hugh. This event will change the world, and challenge all of us.
The video will take 16 minutes of your time. I hope that the
very serious nature of Dr. Chan's message will cut thru the apathy and
disbelief about the possibility of H5N1 triggering the next pandemic,
and encourage some individual planning and family preparation.
Share it with people that you care about.
https://umconnect.umn.edu/chan
(hat tip crofsblog)
sharona97, I didn't mean any offense by defining the WHO acronym. As noted above by indigo girl there are a lot of readers of this thread, and one can not known the depth and breadth of knowledge of each of these individuals.As I noted in one my previous posts from around April of last year, I am not nurse or HCW but I am interested in pandemic preparedness and planning. Because I don't claim to be an expert, I like to post links so that people can search out information for themselves and come to their own determinations and conclusions.
I am also willing to learn and discuss, so can you tell me what canoehead was referring to by a "link war"?
I didn't take your post as nothing else than to teach and learn. Sorry if it came across diferently to you or others. I value your input.
We Are Not Helpless in a Pandemic
http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2008/02/we-not-helpless-in-pandemic.html
This is true. If you learn nothing else from these panflu threads, know that
we are not helpless, and begin to make a plan for your family. There is
much that you can do, and your help if you can give it will be needed.
Mystery Disease Killing Dogs in Florida Shelters
What virus could do this?
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=132385&postcount=1
http://www.scottmcpherson.net/journal/2008/2/11/mystery-disease-killing-dogs-in-south-florida.html
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=132953&postcount=10
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=132387&postcount=2
Mother to Daughter H5N1 Transmission in Indonesia?
http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2008/02/who-mother-daughter-infection-in.html
The World Health Organization's website has a surprise update this morning, giving us details on a new human bird flu infection in Indonesia that happens to be the daughter of a woman who tested positive in late January.
While both had exposures to birds in their neighborhood, the daughter developed symptoms 10 days after the mother, opening up the possibility of a H-2-H (human to human) transmission.
I didn't take your post as nothing else than to teach and learn. Sorry if it came across diferently to you or others. I value your input.
In answer to your question Laidback Al: What was the meaning of a link war with this thread I have no idea. Only the poster can explain her intentions. I'm gald you are participating in this forum. Indeed, it is not only thought-provoking but neccessary. And your input is very valuable info, for everyone, same with Indigogirl's efforts.
Weekly Pandemic News Update Webcasts
Starting on February 18, Sharon Sanders, President of FluTrackers.com, will be giving a 5 minute weekly news update on the status of avian influenza, pandemics, preparedness, emerging diseases, and related topics on Radio Sandy Springs at the beginning of the Infectious Disease Hour on Mondays at 5 PM EST. Audio webcasts of several previous guests can be found at this link: http://www.radiosandysprings.com/infectiousdiseases.php
Man dies of Bird Flu in Vietnam
HANOI, Feb. 14 (Xinhua) --
Vietnam's Health Ministry confirmed that a 40-year-old man from northern Hai Duong province died on Feb. 13 after four days of treatment in Hanoi, local newspaper Young People reported Thursday.
The man slaughtered two dead chickens for meal before exhibiting bird flu symptoms early this month. He was admitted to the city-based Tropical Diseases Hospital on Feb. 8 when his lung and kidneys were damaged. . . .
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-02/14/content_7601519.htm
This is the second person to die of bird flu in Vietnam since Jan 1, 2008.
It is not the toll for the year thjat is of interest but the fact that, despite strenuous efforts on the part of the Vietnamese, that avian flu still persists in the country. IOW the reservoir remains.
We have seen very limited H2H transmission, with a nurse in one case apparently contracting the virus from a patient(s) and dieing from same. And that was what, 2 years ago? With perhaps 100 or fewer cases in the entire country? Imagine what it would mean here in the US? We know that despite our efforts we as healthcare workers (nurses, etc) contract colds and flu from our patients routinely. For now it is an inconvenience because we aren't dealing with infections with a high mortality rate, if indeed any.
Just food for thought.
Ayrman
Bird Flu: A Virus of Our Own Hatching
By Michael Gregor, M.D. 2006
This book has probably been mentioned previously, but it worth reminding people that it available on-line without cost. It provides Dr. Gregor's perspective on Bird Flu with 21 chapters and over 3000 references.
Although it is available for purchase, the entire book can be read on line at Dr. Gregor's web site: http://birdflubook.com/g.php?id=5
And another human H5N1 case is reported in Vietnam today.
Bird flu kills one, infects another in Vietnam
Thu Feb 14, 2008 11:29am EST
(Updates with a new confirmed human case)
By Ho Binh Minh
HANOI, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Bird flu has killed a 40-year-old Vietnamese man and infected another after both came in contact with infected chickens, state media said on Thursday. . . .
Doctors also confirmed another 27-year-old man had been infected by the H5N1 virus and was now in critical condition, state-run Vietnam Television said in its evening news bulletin.
The Health Ministry said the man from the northern province of Ninh Binh slaughtered two sick chickens on Jan. 31 and fell ill two days later with pneumonia symptoms. He was taken to Bach Mai hospital in Hanoi on Tuesday. . . .
And another human H5N1 case is reported in Vietnam today.Bird flu kills one, infects another in Vietnam
Thu Feb 14, 2008 11:29am EST
(Updates with a new confirmed human case)
By Ho Binh Minh
HANOI, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Bird flu has killed a 40-year-old Vietnamese man and infected another after both came in contact with infected chickens, state media said on Thursday. . . .
Doctors also confirmed another 27-year-old man had been infected by the H5N1 virus and was now in critical condition, st and may have contaate-run Vietnam Television said in its evening news bulletin.
The Health Ministry said the man from the northern province of Ninh Binh slaughtered two sick chickens on Jan. 31 and fell ill two days later with pneumonia symptoms. He was taken to Bach Mai hospital in Hanoi on Tuesday. . . .
This young man died yesterday in Vietnam. Meanwhile a 7 year old girl from Hai Duong province in Vietnam is apparently infected and may be part of a human cluster from this district. See post #68 above.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=134029&postcount=33
Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, a 16-or 17 year old boy from Central Java in Indonesia has been confirmed with H5N1 by the Indonesian Dept. of Health. He also died (on February 10, 2008). He was initially mistakenly diagnosed with Dengue. http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=134036&postcount=56
Laidback Al
266 Posts
sharona97, I didn't mean any offense by defining the WHO acronym. As noted above by indigo girl there are a lot of readers of this thread, and one can not known the depth and breadth of knowledge of each of these individuals.
As I noted in one my previous posts from around April of last year, I am not nurse or HCW but I am interested in pandemic preparedness and planning. Because I don't claim to be an expert, I like to post links so that people can search out information for themselves and come to their own determinations and conclusions.
I am also willing to learn and discuss, so can you tell me what canoehead was referring to by a "link war"?