No Nursing Shortage At The Present Time

Despite rampant claims of a critical nursing shortage, many cities and states in the US are actually suffering from the opposite problem: a surplus of nurses. The intended purpose of this article is to challenge the widespread belief that a current nursing shortage exists. Nurses Announcements Archive Article

I am assured that some of you are reading this and saying to yourselves, "Duh! This topic is old hat. We already know there's a glut of nurses in many parts of the country, so why are you writing about this?"

Here is my reason for writing about the current surplus of nurses in local employment markets. I entered the term 'nursing shortage' into a popular search engine and yielded nearly 720,000 results. Afterward, I searched for the phrase 'no nursing shortage' using the same search engine and received about 59,000 results. Since the loud warnings of a dire nursing shortage are being hollered everywhere, I am going to do my part and shout some information that contradicts these claims.

Hospitals began experiencing a shortage of nurses in 1998, according to the American Hospital Association in 2002 (Ostrow, 2012). Colleges and universities aggressively responded to this shortage by expanding their existing nursing programs and/or starting new schools of nursing. Johnson & Johnson started an ad campaign to entice more people into the profession. Healthcare facilities responded to the shortage by offering more perks such as tuition reimbursement and scholarships to current employees.

Well, those efforts to increase the total number of nurses in the US have been wildly successful. The number of full-time nurses grew by about 386,000 from 2005 to 2010 and about a third of the growth occurred as unemployment rose to a high of 10 percent during that period, according to a report published in the New England Journal of Medicine (Ostrow, 2012). But still, the study raises an intriguing question: How did the nation go from a shortage to, if not a surplus, then at least an apparently adequate supply of nurses? (Rovner, 2011).

The federal government helped by increasing the funding for nursing programs to a whopping $240 million, up from $80 million in 2001. The proliferation of accelerated bachelor of science in nursing (BSN) degree programs and direct-entry master of science in nursing (MSN) degree programs also contributed to the rapid increase in the number of new nurses because students who hold non-nursing degrees can complete these training programs in 12 to 18 months.

The slumping economic situation in the US also contributed to the easing of the nursing shortage. Seasoned nurses are not retiring because many saw their retirement funds dwindle during the economic crisis of 2008. Other nurses have become breadwinners and accepted full-time positions once their spouses were laid off during the Great Recession. Some nurses are coming out of retirement and reactivating their nursing licenses. Moreover, masses of people lost health insurance benefits after becoming unemployed, which leads to reduced patient census in places that provide nursing care.

Thirty-six percent of nursing graduates in the class of 2011 had not secured positions as registered nurses (RNs) as of last fall, according to a survey conducted by the National Student Nurses' Association in September (Griswold, 2012). Of course, some states are afflicted with a worse glut of nurses than others. More than four out of ten (43 percent) of California nurses, who were newly licensed as registered nurses in the previous 18 months, say they could not find a job, according to a recent survey paid for by the California Institute for Nursing & Health Care (CVBT, 2012).

Experts predict that a nursing shortage will peak in the US in 2020. While these projections may turn out to be accurate, keep in mind that this country is continually producing record numbers of new nurses each year. Still, the nursing shortage of the late 1990s appears to have eased.

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Specializes in Trauma.

One poster made the statement that requiring a BSN keeps minorities out of nursing because they cannot learn math and science. I disagree with that. I think it has more to do with cost and the availability of BSN programs in their area. I feel anyone can learn math and science if they want. I had not sat in a classroom in almost 28 years, never took a biology, algebra, or chemistry class in my life and I managed to make A's and B's in all of those. Is it because my white brain retained so much from so long ago that I was never exposed to, or perhaps it was because I learned it in college? Groups of people will generally do what is expected of them. If girls enter high school with the everyone telling them they are not expected to do well in math and science most of them will not, same with boys and English class.

Actually, if I were a minority I would be offended by the assumption I would do poorly in math and science simply because I was not white or Asian.

One poster made the statement that requiring a BSN keeps minorities out of nursing because they cannot learn math and science. I disagree with that. I think it has more to do with cost and the availability of BSN programs in their area. I feel anyone can learn math and science if they want. I had not sat in a classroom in almost 28 years, never took a biology, algebra, or chemistry class in my life and I managed to make A's and B's in all of those. Is it because my white brain retained so much from so long ago that I was never exposed to, or perhaps it was because I learned it in college? Groups of people will generally do what is expected of them. If girls enter high school with the everyone telling them they are not expected to do well in math and science most of them will not, same with boys and English class.

Actually, if I were a minority I would be offended by the assumption I would do poorly in math and science simply because I was not white or Asian.

Did not say they "could not" but that historically African American and Latino students have not done well in those subjects.

Furthermore those were *not* my own findings but come from numerous published studies including the Georgetown University one which I posted a link to in another thread and that started this whole thing in the first place.

From Healthcare Finance News's take on the report:

Other key findings of the research:

  • Healthcare successfully competes for science and engineering talent. Because healthcare, science, and technology fields tend to require similar skills, healthcare programs at the associate and bachelor’s level are often an appealing alternative for science and engineering students.
  • Upskilling in nursing is growing especially fast. In 1980, 37 percent of entry-level registered nurses had at least an associate’s degree; by 2008, that figure had increased to 80 percent.
  • Rising bachelor degree requirements in nursing is crowding out disadvantaged minorities. A total of 51 percent of White nurses under 40 years old have bachelor’s degrees, compared to only 46 percent of Hispanics and 44 percent of African American nurses.
  • Healthcare has the largest number and proportion of foreign-born and foreign-trained workers in the U.S. Among healthcare workers 22 percent are foreign born, compared to 13 percent of all workers nationally. Most foreign-born nurses come from the Philippines, India and China.

One poster made the statement that requiring a BSN keeps minorities out of nursing because they cannot learn math and science. I disagree with that. I think it has more to do with cost and the availability of BSN programs in their area. I feel anyone can learn math and science if they want. I had not sat in a classroom in almost 28 years, never took a biology, algebra, or chemistry class in my life and I managed to make A's and B's in all of those. Is it because my white brain retained so much from so long ago that I was never exposed to, or perhaps it was because I learned it in college? Groups of people will generally do what is expected of them. If girls enter high school with the everyone telling them they are not expected to do well in math and science most of them will not, same with boys and English class.

Actually, if I were a minority I would be offended by the assumption I would do poorly in math and science simply because I was not white or Asian.

Furthermore: STEM Education And Jobs: Declining Numbers Of Blacks Seen In Math, Science

Specializes in Trauma.
Did not say they "could not" but that historically African American and Latino students have not done well in those subjects.

Rising bachelor degree requirements in nursing is crowding out disadvantaged minorities. A total of 51 percent of White nurses under 40 years old have bachelor’s degrees, compared to only 46 percent of Hispanics and 44 percent of African American nurses.

You do realize this is only a 5% and 7% difference.

Maybe they will historically do better now that more are choosing to attend college.

Specializes in Forensic Psych.
One poster made the statement that requiring a BSN keeps minorities out of nursing because they cannot learn math and science. I disagree with that. I think it has more to do with cost and the availability of BSN programs in their area. I feel anyone can learn math and science if they want. I had not sat in a classroom in almost 28 years, never took a biology, algebra, or chemistry class in my life and I managed to make A's and B's in all of those. Is it because my white brain retained so much from so long ago that I was never exposed to, or perhaps it was because I learned it in college? Groups of people will generally do what is expected of them. If girls enter high school with the everyone telling them they are not expected to do well in math and science most of them will not, same with boys and English class.

Actually, if I were a minority I would be offended by the assumption I would do poorly in math and science simply because I was not white or Asian.

I don't think the point was that they "cannot" learn math and science. It's just that, statistically speaking, Hispanics and African-Americans do more poorly. Why they do poorly is up to conjecture.

They base this on the increasing educational requirements expected of RNs (in short the BSN) which place an emphasis on math and sciences. Two subjects historically which Latino and African American students do poorly on average.

Agree that cost and location would be big factors at play, and I think the accessibility issue kind of goes hand in hand with the math/science issue. Like you said, people tend to do what is expected of them. Many people are breaking down barriers and busting out of molds just by going to the community college a few miles away. "Going away" to college in another city/state is a whole other ball game.

I'm (half) black, and yes, I would probably become a biochemist to prove a point if people invested time into telling me I'm naturally going to suck at science. Rebellion gets ya places :)

You do realize this is only a 5% and 7% difference.

Maybe they will historically do better now that more are choosing to attend college.

True, will give you that, however the question remains how to get *there* from here.

If current trends continue nursing programs are only going to become more not less difficult, especially if facilities keep moving towards BSN only hiring models.

The Georgetown report cited above contained lots of rather interesting tidbits.

For instance not only are physicans as a group the top wage earners in US healthcare, the profession is largely white and made up of those from affluent families. If this is true it would mean the medical profession has not moved that far in terms of diversity as many assume.

While the current pool of physicans seems to be more diverse in terms of gender,religon and sexual preference, most still come from the same racial backgound is telling.

Now are we to assume minorites aren't interested in becoming physicans? Where and how does socio-economic differences play a role? No one can deny college and med school are expensive but surely that does not account for the all the differences.

However one thing is true in that overall if one does not have the proper foundation in primary and secondary school pre-med much less medical school is usually out of the question academically.

Specializes in Trauma.

Interesting article. It appears many minorities convince themselves they will not succeed in STEM careers, not that they don't have the basic knowledge to learn the math and science needed to get into a program. It also seems as if it does not really matter that corporations are pouring tens of millions of dollars into programs trying to recruit them into those programs.

How do you correct this? How do you overcome the notion that careers in science are not lame and geeky when they are competing with the hip hop culture that glorifies the thug gang banger lifestyle as being desirable? Many times minorities will resist this due to not wanting to be seen as "acting white."

I don't think the point was that they "cannot" learn math and science. It's just that, statistically speaking, Hispanics and African-Americans do more poorly. Why they do poorly is up to conjecture.

Agree that cost and location would be big factors at play, and I think the accessibility issue kind of goes hand in hand with the math/science issue. Like you said, people tend to do what is expected of them. Many people are breaking down barriers and busting out of molds just by going to the community college a few miles away. "Going away" to college in another city/state is a whole other ball game.

I'm (half) black, and yes, I would probably become a biochemist to prove a point if people invested time into telling me I'm naturally going to suck at science. Rebellion gets ya places :)

There is a huge debate going on in education circles especially in urban areas and or those that serve mostly AA populations as to what extent the peer bias of "acting white" harms certain AA students.

For those who no not know the term "acting white" is applied to minority students (mainly African American) who excel at school by their peers. This pressure in it's extreme can cause even academically gifted students to "dumb down" in order to fit in. Indeed some have no other choice as they face threats of and or actual verbal and physical violence.

This becomes a particular problem for teenage high school students who often want to fit in with this or that group. To be called or assumed "gay" or otherwise made to feel different and excluded from the main groups can not only harm these teens emotionally, but in urban areas where gangs pretty much control things can be deadly.

Specializes in Trauma.

If current trends continue nursing programs are only going to become more not less difficult, especially if facilities keep moving towards BSN only hiring models.

With nursing and the medical field becoming more advanced each year is it a bad thing for nursing school to become more difficult to get into and pass? I would never advocate making a health care profession easier. Just like I would never agree with a passing score for a white student to be 75 where the passing score for a minority student to be 70, since they are underserved. What about making the passing score for male nursing students 50 since they only make up 10% of all nurses? I feel this would create substandard nurses that are just a death or lawsuit waiting to happen.

Interesting article. It appears many minorities convince themselves they will not succeed in STEM careers, not that they don't have the basic knowledge to learn the math and science needed to get into a program. It also seems as if it does not really matter that corporations are pouring tens of millions of dollars into programs trying to recruit them into those programs.

How do you correct this? How do you overcome the notion that careers in science are not lame and geeky when they are competing with the hip hop culture that glorifies the thug gang banger lifestyle as being desirable? Many times minorities will resist this due to not wanting to be seen as "acting white."

There my girl (or guy) you have hit the nail on the head, and sadly there aren't any good answers.

In the decade or so after the Civil Rights movement AA's made huge gains in the professions and other careers. However it seems since about the 1980's or 1990's things have been back sliding.

When I was growing up you had plenty of AA nurses, teachers, and other professionals that acted as role models for not only their own children but others in the community as well. It seems that is going and the new idols are rap artists (and I use that term loosely), drug dealers, pimps, girls who "use what they got to get what they need', sports players and so forth. It also has not helped that by and large AA middle and above classes have moved away from urban areas to either upscale white or communities of their own.

Personally think African Americans are running a huge risk of not only loosing what gains they have, but becoming out flanked by the large and growing Hispanic community.

The really interesting thing is that even amoung "Black Americans" there is a huge difference in the way education is valued. Some of the hardest working and educational driven African Americans one knows come from either Africa or the Caribbean islands. Even if the parents have only say a high school education they push their children to get the most out of any and every educational option this country has to offer.

With nursing and the medical field becoming more advanced each year is it a bad thing for nursing school to become more difficult to get into and pass? I would never advocate making a health care profession easier. Just like I would never agree with a passing score for a white student to be 75 where the passing score for a minority student to be 70, since they are underserved. What about making the passing score for male nursing students 50 since they only make up 10% of all nurses? I feel this would create substandard nurses that are just a death or lawsuit waiting to happen.

Neither would I, but unless something is done to break the academic gap between non-white and minority students things cannot and will not get better on their own.

Remember also it's not just undergraduate BSN students these students are in competition with, but increasing numbers of those with BofS degrees in other areas including the sciences going to ABSN programs. How long that will continue is anyone's guess but with colleges, universities, pharma companies cutting back hiring leaving those with biology,chem and other degrees looking for steady work....

Specializes in PACU, LTC, Med-Surg, Telemetry, Psych.

I my area (Lousiana) they are letting CNAs go and putting LPNs on the floor to do CNA work in hospitals. The LPNs are not too happy about it, but they either do it or face unemployment. The pay is kind of low, too. I think these LPNs are only pulling 15-16/hr with no experience as new grads.

Hire-on bonuses, tuition reimbursement, etc are things of the past and fewer and fewer folks use agency anymore.

With this surplus, I see degree inflation eventually happening. In the future, you will need LPN to clean bedpans. You will need NP to be able to sit behind a desk. And... a two year degree in hotel/restaurant management to wash dishes :)