Date time stamp 10/8/10

peterbrasco · Oct 9, 2010

My time stamp is 8.01:36. 10/8/10 . I attend cgcc. 3.5 gpa and 89.24% on hesi a2. Guess we have a long wait. I am thinking of cna and applying at hospital for work till whenever and taking courses for ASU transfer towards BSN. Possibly work towards associate in scieince and get an associate in science degree during the wait period.

KayL · Oct 9, 2010

So I checked and I have a date/time stamp of 10/8/10 08:03. Wow, it's official!
So what semester do you think we can expect? I was thinking Fall 2013. She told me 5 semesters when I went in last.

My date/time stamp is 10/8/10 8:00:42 so I'm in the same boat!! I applied to Glendale CC and the advisor told me the wait is about 3 to 4 semesters. Because people are getting in to the spring semester with date/time stamps of June 09 I am hoping we will get in to the spring 2012 class. Best of luck to everyone!! I hope everyone will continue to post on this thread so we can see where we are!! Anticipation is a killer!!! :bugeyes:

Just out of curiosity, which school did you apply at?

twinieten · Oct 10, 2010

My first choice is Chandler Gilbert, and my second is Mesa. I'm going for the closer campus' first. I've put both traditional and accelerated on my list. Spring 2012, you think? I guess it depends on the number one choice, too.

peterbrasco · Oct 10, 2010

I live in east valley, but glendale is my first choice,won't mind the drive if that will get me in quicker.I have 5 choices.

az_melanie · Oct 10, 2010

My guess would be Fall 2012 or Spring 2013. The first date you will 'officially' run for is the Fall 2011 class, so that will be semester 1, then Spring 2012 is semester 2, Fall 2012 semester 3 (if you have lots of choices hopefully you will get in here) or Spring 2013 (if you only have one choice-like I did-then you will probably get in here.) Best of luck to all of you. It seems like a long time away, but it really does come FAST!

KayL · Oct 10, 2010

:redpinkhe:D:confused: :rolleyes:

KayL · Oct 10, 2010

my first choice is chandler gilbert, and my second is mesa. i'm going for the closer campus' first. i've put both traditional and accelerated on my list. spring 2012, you think? i guess it depends on the number one choice, too.

i'm hoping! i'm just basing it off of the class that is going in in spring 2011; they will have waited about a year and a half and so i am hoping that will be the same for our date/time stamp as well. i am just planning on taking a few classes toward by bsn in the meantime. happy waiting!! :)

GQGomer · Oct 16, 2010

Think it may be a 5-semester (or even 6) wait. Reason: it depends on how many applicants total were in the pool for Oct 8 2010 AND previously. There are around 2600 people (not counting the 235 who haven't reaffirmed or the 453 slots for spring 2011). Some of those 2600 applied after 9/30/2010 (ie they applied in Oct 2010), so they probably won't be time stamped until December 2010, so you can subtract a few off the 2600, BUT if the 235 reaffirm, you'll have to ADD those people to the total (which will make the total closer to 2900, which is ~6-semester wait). If they don't reaffirm and if you subtract off maybe 75 people who may have applied between 10/01/10 and 10/08/10 when the stamps were run, you're looking at around 2500-2600 applicants in the pool, so a 5-6 semester wait for the 10/08/10 applicants.)

In the past, there were fewer total applicants in the pool, so the wait was shorter. For example, when the people who have 10/2009 stamps applied, there might have been only 1700 total people in the applicant pool, so their wait was 3-4 semesters. Now that more applicants are in the pool, the wait will be longer. It appears that more people are applying during each intake period causing the applicant pool to increase substantially between placemment runs; thus, increasing the wait time. Bottom line is: you can't really go by people who were stamped a year ago because there were fewer applicants in the pool when they were stamped than there are now. Anyway, if you divide the total number of applicants in the pool by 450-500 (ie number of available seats), you get 5 (or even 6) semesters of waiting time for the 10/08/2010 people.

The wait for the 10/08/2010 has nothing to do with the wait that the 10/2009 people have. There were far fewer people on the wait list when they were stamped, so their wait is shorter. BTW, if this trend keeps up (more and more people applying between application runs), the wait time will just keep increasing for future applicants. The 10/08/2010 applicant wait is now FIXED except for the possibility of people currently on the list dropping off the list or those 235 reaffirming. Future applicants will not affect 10/08/2010 wait.

BTW, the 10/08/2010 stamps ranged to around 8:05, meaning about 500 people applied during the 2-month Aug-Sept 2010 intake period. (Assuming each minute represents 100 people. If each minute represents only 60 people, then 8:05 would represent 300 rather than 500 people - in either case, however, the trend is the same.) Based on that, it looks like ~250 per month are applying. So guessing the Dec 2010 time stamps will have an applicant pool of around 3100 which is 6+ semesters. In ADDITION, if, by Feb 2011 , 300 people are applying per month that would be 600 people in the 2-month intake (ie # of people applying Dec 1, 2010 - Jan 31, 2011), so the total applicant pool would be 3700 for those people. Assuming the next 2 months (Feb 1, 2011 through March 31, 2011) another 700 apply, then the applicant list is up to 4400 for those people. However, when they run the placement for Fall 2011, that will subtract 450-500 people off the waiting list, bringing the wait list back down to 3900-3950. Just some examples so you get the idea of how the trend of more applicants per intake cycle is affecting the wait time for various time stamps. (All this assuming the applicant intake continues to increase every 2 months. Obviously, if the trend reverses and fewer people apply, the wait list time will hold steady for future applicants, BUT in this economy, it's doubtful the trend will reverse or hold steady. I suspect it'll continue to increase.)

***IF you want to know how long your wait will be, ask how many people TOTAL were actually time stamped before you were time stamped and then add your own minutes and seconds to that number. Of course, don't forget to subtract off the number of people placed. Also, don't forget if placements occur only 2x per year and intake is 6 times per yr, you won't be subtracting off that 450-500 for all 6 intake cycles. Then divide that by avg number of placements per semester (usally 450-500), and you'll get a pretty good idea of how long YOUR wait will be. (The only thing affecting you wait at that point will be if people drop off the list, and not many drop off.)

az_melanie · Oct 16, 2010

KayL, I was date stamped 2/09 and just got in for the spring, so that was 4 semesters for me :crying2: . But, I also only had one choice listed, as I wasn't willing to drive farther than MCC and didn't want to go to CGCC (which is a good thing, since it wasn't even offered this semester...Hmmm...).

HatchetRatchet (or was it Ratchet Hatchet?! LOL), anyway, that is how I was figuring it for me, taking the # of students divided by about 650(450 who get in and the 200 or so that don't reaffirm) to figure out how long it'd be. I think there were about 2300 when I got my date/time stamp and if you do the math for my situation it was 3.5 semesters and I was 4, so it was right on. Now that there's about 2700, my guess it'd be 4-5 semesters! Only time will tell and I wish evreyone good luck while they wait. It really does go fast, even though it doesn't seem like it at first :)!!

twinieten · Oct 17, 2010

OMG, thanks for that Ratchett!

KayL · Oct 18, 2010

Think it may be a 5-semester (or even 6) wait. Reason: it depends on how many applicants total were in the pool for Oct 8 2010 AND previously. There are around 2600 people (not counting the 235 who haven't reaffirmed or the 453 slots for spring 2011). Some of those 2600 applied after 9/30/2010 (ie they applied in Oct 2010), so they probably won't be time stamped until December 2010, so you can subtract a few off the 2600, BUT if the 235 reaffirm, you'll have to ADD those people to the total (which will make the total closer to 2900, which is ~6-semester wait). If they don't reaffirm and if you subtract off maybe 75 people who may have applied between 10/01/10 and 10/08/10 when the stamps were run, you're looking at around 2500-2600 applicants in the pool, so a 5-6 semester wait for the 10/08/10 applicants.)
In the past, there were fewer total applicants in the pool, so the wait was shorter. For example, when the people who have 10/2009 stamps applied, there might have been only 1700 total people in the applicant pool, so their wait was 3-4 semesters. Now that more applicants are in the pool, the wait will be longer. It appears that more people are applying during each intake period causing the applicant pool to increase substantially between placemment runs; thus, increasing the wait time. Bottom line is: you can't really go by people who were stamped a year ago because there were fewer applicants in the pool when they were stamped than there are now. Anyway, if you divide the total number of applicants in the pool by 450-500 (ie number of available seats), you get 5 (or even 6) semesters of waiting time for the 10/08/2010 people.
The wait for the 10/08/2010 has nothing to do with the wait that the 10/2009 people have. There were far fewer people on the wait list when they were stamped, so their wait is shorter. BTW, if this trend keeps up (more and more people applying between application runs), the wait time will just keep increasing for future applicants. The 10/08/2010 applicant wait is now FIXED except for the possibility of people currently on the list dropping off the list or those 235 reaffirming. Future applicants will not affect 10/08/2010 wait.
BTW, the 10/08/2010 stamps ranged to around 8:05, meaning about 500 people applied during the 2-month Aug-Sept 2010 intake period. (Assuming each minute represents 100 people. If each minute represents only 60 people, then 8:05 would represent 300 rather than 500 people - in either case, however, the trend is the same.) Based on that, it looks like ~250 per month are applying. So guessing the Dec 2010 time stamps will have an applicant pool of around 3100 which is 6+ semesters. In ADDITION, if, by Feb 2011 , 300 people are applying per month that would be 600 people in the 2-month intake (ie # of people applying Dec 1, 2010 - Jan 31, 2011), so the total applicant pool would be 3700 for those people. Assuming the next 2 months (Feb 1, 2011 through March 31, 2011) another 700 apply, then the applicant list is up to 4400 for those people. However, when they run the placement for Fall 2011, that will subtract 450-500 people off the waiting list, bringing the wait list back down to 3900-3950. Just some examples so you get the idea of how the trend of more applicants per intake cycle is affecting the wait time for various time stamps. (All this assuming the applicant intake continues to increase every 2 months. Obviously, if the trend reverses and fewer people apply, the wait list time will hold steady for future applicants, BUT in this economy, it's doubtful the trend will reverse or hold steady. I suspect it'll continue to increase.)
***IF you want to know how long your wait will be, ask how many people TOTAL were actually time stamped before you were time stamped and then add your own minutes and seconds to that number. Of course, don't forget to subtract off the number of people placed. Also, don't forget if placements occur only 2x per year and intake is 6 times per yr, you won't be subtracting off that 450-500 for all 6 intake cycles. Then divide that by avg number of placements per semester (usally 450-500), and you'll get a pretty good idea of how long YOUR wait will be. (The only thing affecting you wait at that point will be if people drop off the list, and not many drop off.)

WOW. Where do you get your info from? It's an interesting theory, just wondering if it is based on fact. Thanks.