H5N1, Bird Flu Updates - page 3

Tracking Bird Flu Cases Bird flu deserves its own thread for tracking suspected and confirmed cases. It's not the pandemic virus, but it is still an ongoing and significant threat because of its... Read More

  1. by   indigo girl
    Egypt: WHO Update on 90th Human H5N1 Case


    The disease began striking toddlers last year in Egypt, and surprisingly was mild. This recent case is an adult, and how much exposure to the virus she may have had might play a role in her outcome. Unfortunately, adult cases are frequently fatal in that country and elsewhere.

    Quote from www.who.int
    The Ministry of Health of Egypt has reported a new laboratory confirmed human case of avian influenza A(H5N1) on 19 December 2009.

    The case is a 21 year old female from the El Tanta District of Gharbia Governorate. She developed symptoms of fever and cough on 15 December 2009.

    She was admitted to Tanta Fever Hospital where she received oseltamivir treatment on the same day. She is in a stable condition. Investigation revealed that the case had close contact with dead poultry and was involved in slaughtering sick birds.
    (hat tip Avian Flu Diary)
  2. by   indigo girl
    indonesia: a bombshell from the minister of health


    Quote from crofsblogs.typepad.com
    since 1 january to 28 december 2009, a total 20 h5n1 cases reported in indonesia. of those confirmed cases, 19 have been fatal. first h5n1 case was reported from bogor on 9 january, and latest was reported from south jakarta on 23 september 2009.
    total cumulative number of h5n1 in indonesia since 2005 to 2009 is 161 with 134 deaths.
    this information is broadcasted by public communication center, general secretary ministry of health.

    this is more bird flu information from indonesia than we've received in over a year.
    as brief as it is, it has some important implications.

    the indonesian case fatality ratio is now 83 percent, slightly higher than the 81 percent before the news blackout. this indicates the health system isn't catching cases early, or isn't dealing with them effectively.

    Quote from www.cidrap.umn.edu
    indonesia's ministry of health, updating information on h5n1 avian influenza for the first time since january, quietly reported this week that the country has had 20 human cases so far this year, with 19 of them fatal--a 95% case-fatality rate (cfr).

    indonesia's then-health minister, siti supari, announced in june 2008 that the government would stop issuing prompt reports of new h5n1 cases and instead offer only periodic updates. the announcement raised concern about the world's ability to track the virus's evolution and impact.

    since the june 2008 announcement, indonesia has issued few official reports of h5n1 cases.

    the often deadly h5n1 virus has not yet gained the ability to spread easily from person to person, though it has circulated widely in birds for the past 6 years. disease experts still fear that it could gain transmissibility through mutation or by reassorting with another flu virus.
  3. by   indigo girl


    Quote from www.meattradenewsdaily.co.uk
    The Cambodian veterinary authority has sent an Immediate Notification dated 28 December to the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE).

    The report describes a new outbreak of HPAI in a village poultry flock of 1,216 birds in La-ak in the province of Kg. Cham, which is in the south-east of the country, near to the border with Viet Nam. The disease broke out on 16 December. In all, 143 birds died and the rest were destroyed.

    According to the report, the affected population were backyard poultry comprising 1,012 chickens and 204 ducks. Of the birds culled, 751 were chickens and 124 were ducks.

    The presence of the H5N1 sub-type of the virus has been confirmed.
    (hat tip pfi/monotreme)
  4. by   Laidback Al
    Human H5N1 cases in 2009

    For those interested in bird flu I have summarized the information on human cases in 2009.

    A General Discussion of Human H5N1 Cases in 2009

    H5N1 was widely expected to the first pandemic virus of the 21st century. The outbreak of the novel H1N1 in the North America in the early months of 2009 caught everyone by surprise. The pandemic spread of novel H1N1 across the globe captured the world's attention throughout the year, while information and reports on H5N1 were back page news.

    Number of Human H5N1 Cases in 2009

    H5N1 avian influenza ("Bird Flu") is an internationally reportable disease. Since 2003 until December 31, 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) has reported a total of 467 confirmed human cases of H5N1 (link). The cases associated with the initial human outbreak of H5N1 in Hong Kong in 1997 are not included in the official WHO totals (link).

    For 2009, the final tabulation for WHO confirmed H5N1 cases is 72 (link). Twenty of these 72 cases occurred throughout the year in Indonesia but were only reported by Indonesia on December 28th, and incorporated into the WHO statistics on December 30, 2009 (link).

    The number of H5N1 cases increased in 2009 relative to 2008. The number of H5N1 cases in 2009 is almost double the number of H5N1 cases reported in 2008 (See graph below). The number of H5N1 cases reached an all time annual high of 115 in 2006, but another doubling of human H5N1 infections in 2010 would exceed this previous annual high.

    In 2009, Egypt had the most confirmed cases with 39 reported to WHO. Indonesia is next with 20 reported cases followed by China, Vietnam, and Cambodia in descending order. All five of these countries had previously reported human H5N1 cases. No other countries reported human H5N1 infections in 2009.

    Demographics of H5N1 Victims in 2009

    For about 52 of the WHO confirmed cases demographic information is available in the Disease Outbreak News and translated news posts here at FluTrackers and elsewhere. There is no official information on the 20 reported cases from Indonesia, although internet flu trackers have posted numerous news articles throughout 2009 about human H5N1 infections and deaths in Indonesia. Among the 52 cases with reported statistics, 25 males (48%) and 27 (52%) females were infected. This suggests that in 2009 both males and females were about equally susceptible to H5N1 infection. Ages range from 1 to 57 years old for these cases, with a median age of 4. This low median age results from the 39 cases from Egypt. The age statistics from Egypt for human H5N1 infections in 2009 show an unusual trend. Thirty-one of the 39 human cases were children under 9 years of age. Even more striking is the fact the CFR among the 39 Egypt cases in 2009 was only .10.

    Case Fatality Ratio

    Based on WHO confirmed human cases, the overall case fatality ratio (CFR) to date is .60. As noted above for 2009 the CFR for Egypt was .10. This is lowest annual CFR number of any country since WHO started tracking H5N1 infections. The survival rate for confirmed H5N1 cases in 2009, at least for Egypt, increased compared to preceding years.
    . . .
    The remainder of the discussion and graphs are at this link: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...d.php?t=138276
  5. by   indigo girl
    Kaziranga National Park, Assam, India


    Quote from crofsblogs.typepad.com
    A bird flu scare has hit the Kaziranga National Park in Assam with carcasses of at least a dozen migratory Bar-headed Geese found in the sanctuary, officials said Friday.

    A park warden said at least seven geese were found dead Friday. Five carcasses of the same species that had recently arrived at the sanctuary from Siberia were recovered Thursday.

    'A team of experts, including veterinarians, are carrying out post-mortem of the birds and samples would be sent to Bhopal to find out if the deaths were due to avian influenza or some other disease,' a park ranger told IANS.
  6. by   indigo girl
    Pekanbaru, Riau, Indonesia


    Quote from www.thejakartapost.com
    A 17-year-old teenager who is suspected of having contracted the H1N1 bird flu virus is in a critical condition at the Arifin Achmad regional public hospital in Pekanbaru, Riau.

    The hospital head for bird flu control, Azisman Saad, said Sunday the teenager was receiving intensive treatment in an isolation room at the hospital.

    "The suspect is still in a comma-like condition and is suffering from a high fever," Azisman said.

    He added the patient needed a machine to assist his breathing.
    (hat tip pfi/pixie)
  7. by   indigo girl
    Beni Suef, Egypt

    This the 91st lab confirmed case of H5N1 bird flu in Egypt. The case fatality rate is improving for the disease in that country, but is still high. To put this into persepective, the CFR in the 1918 pandemic was a horrific 2% and millions died across the globe. Now, compare this with a 60% CFR in Egypt or the greater than 80% CFR of Indonesia, and it is easy to understand the concern that H5N1 generates. Luckily, it has not yet developed the ability to become more transmissible. With luck, that may never happen.

    Quote from afludiary.blogspot.com
    Ministry of Health on the status of injury No. 91 for bird flu-old girl (20 years) from Beni Suef.

    The Health Ministry said in a statement that the onset of symptoms the disease the patient was on Jan. 6, entered the hospital in Beni Suef, issued January 11, has been suffering from fever, cough, sore throat and difficulty in breathing, after they were dealing with dead birds suspected of being infected with disease, and make sure that today, Wednesday, she became ill and was given the drug Tamiflu in stable condition.
    More at: http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2010/0...infection.html
  8. by   indigo girl
    H5N1: Far From Gone
    Quote from crofsblogs.typepad.com
    While the world's flu fighters have concentrated on countering the H1N1 swine flu pandemic, avian influenza H5N1 has quietly continued to take its toll on both poultry and humans.

    Last year, 17 countries, stretching from Cte d'Ivoire and Germany to China and Japan, reported outbreaks of H5N1 in domestic poultry and wild birds; and the World Health Organization, which still says H5N1 poses a pandemic threat, recorded 72 human cases, 32 of them fatal.

    The brunt of the outbreak, entering its eighth year, is still in China and the developing countries of Southeast Asia. Indonesia alone accounted for 19 of the 32 H5N1 deaths; Vietnam, for 5 and China, for 4. But there are glimmers of progress.
    More at: http://crofsblogs.typepad.com/h5n1/2...from-gone.html
  9. by   indigo girl
    Egyptian Media Reports 92nd Human Case of H5N1


    It is worrisome that swine flu cases are occurring concurrently in Egypt as well.

    Quote from afludiary.blogspot.com
    ...a child from the province Dakahliya one year old and a half.

    The ministry of Health on "Friday" that the onset of symptoms since the child started on 7 January, where he entered the hospital in Mansoura issued on Jan. 12, suffering from fever, cough and shortness of breath.

    She noted that it had been given proper treatment of the drug "Tamiflu" as soon as a suspected injury, and his health is stable and in good health.
  10. by   ryan6563
    I was reading an article on bird flu the other day on the internet. I found this article interesting. Just have a look.

  11. by   indigo girl
    Egyptian Bird Flu Case #93

    Center Ghanyim Assiut Governorate


    Quote from translate.google.com
    ...the ministry announced the discovery of human case of bird flu, No. 93 for a child aged 3 years Center Ghanyim Assiut Governorate.

    A statement of the "health" that the boy's parents reported being exposed to birds suspected of having bird flu, prompting authorities of the Ministry to take a sample for analysis after being suspected of becoming ill, but now, according to the statement, received the necessary treatment of his condition and became landed good.
    (hat tip flutrackers/commonground)
  12. by   indigo girl
    West Bengal, India


    Quote from www.hindustantimes.com
    Bird flu has erupted in West Bengal after a gap of seven months.

    Bhopal-based High Security Animal Disease Laboratory (HSADL) has found the bird flu virus (H5N1 strain) in seven out of 12 samples received from Murshidabad district, in the north-central part of the state.

    "Three samples last week and four on Tuesday tested positive," HSADL Joint Director Shiv Charan Dubey told HT.
    Based on the Bhopal lab report, the department of animal husbandry, dairy, and fisheries (DAHD) of the Centre has written to the West Bengal government, asking it to take steps like culling birds that are within 3 km of the Nagar and Hazarabati villages of the Khargram block, the centre of the outbreak. More than 3,000 birds had been culled in the area, sources said.
    (hat tip pfi/pixie)
  13. by   indigo girl

    Sadly, the young woman in post #32 has died. They don't have her age exactly right but she is the 91st case of bird flu infection. Her death is not surprising. Why? Because most of the deaths from bird flu in Egypt have been in adult cases. The kids tend to survive. We don't know why. This strange anomaly has been occurring since last year. Right before the swine flu pandemic began, the WHO was supposed to be sending in a team to Egypt to investigate all of the new cases of bird flu because that was when the virus began infecting toddlers. It was a totally new demographic for bird flu in Egypt. And even more astounding, these kids were not dying like the adults. To this day, this has never been explained, and apparently this is still going on.

    Quote from afludiary.blogspot.com
    Ministry of Health announced the death of a No. 91 of avian flu, becoming the victim No. 28 of the disease since it appeared in Egypt in 2006 so far This is the first event of the death in 2010.

    Case of a girl, aged "29 years" of Beni Suef, started showing symptoms on 6 January this year, and the effect was entered Beni Suef hospital on January 11, has been suffering from fever, cough, sore throat and difficulty in breathing, after exposure to dealing with dead birds suspected of being infected with the disease, and is beginning to emerge and given Tamiflu as of that date so far for more than 10 consecutive days, which confirms that the impact of the drug in the situation.