Samuel Merritt University Spring 2025 BSN - Waitlisted

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Hi!
So, originally I was #17 on the waitlist out of 29.
Within 2 weeks I was bumped up to the #1 slot.
Unfortunately, I've been kept in this spot for a month. Classes start January 6th which is around the corner.
I've been told by counselors that they would update me if I am not selected and they often see movement into the last week before classes start. I was told from alumni friends that I was a shoe in for sure due to tons of students dropping in the past cohorts.

What are my chances here?
Is it strange only 16 students have dropped their interest?

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Additionally, I've been told by a user on Reddit that the Spring Cohort has actually been over-admitted and they've asked students to drop out for the January start which sounds... terrible. Any information someone can share would really clarify things for me because I'm worried I've been led astray from counselors on the matter.

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