My coworkers banter back and forth about this, but what do you all think?
I was at Epics user group meeting a few months ago and was floor by some of the technology that they have coming out in the next few years. But in my opinion, all signs point to more, more, more demand for healthcare resources and less, less, less resources. I don't care if you are a Republican, Democrat or any other party inside or outside the US, everyone agree that too much is being spent on healthcare.
My prediction: Big time healthcare IT bubble over the next 5-10 years in the US. We'll see more integrated systems, a cloud based repository of health information, greater use of tele medicine both for inpatient and outpatient medicine. Then BOOM a huge pop! Whether true or not, IT will be seen as revenue negative and scarce funding will be funneled to patient care activities and out of IT.
Anyone see it differently? Can we possibly continue the exponential growth in the industry?
Jan 4, '12
It will shrink for many people having a field day with their 'epic implementation consulting', etc.
First, meaningful use rush will calm down. it does not take nearly so many persons to maintain or upgrade a system as to implement it for the first time. Second India is gearing to take over much of that support and software development along with the next rush to analytics, much as they took over the rest of the IT industry. Healthcare was really the last national domain and already many of the vendors are in the process of moving their operations there. More importantly "cloud"( a fancy name for web-based remote software and data offshoring) based open modular software is quicly emerging and being hailed as the next best thing and whyreally should providers have to shell out the kind of money that EPIC charges. it's crazy.
Already is and people who went to the HIMSS conference last year might remember emr's and modular open web-based components being a big focus... There will be some demand as telemedicine emerges but again, won't take near so many bodies to implement and as for rfid, streams, mobile, interface engines, frankly most clinicans simply do not have or will not invest in the technical skills required to be competent in these areas. (Ironically non-technical clinicians they're usually the loudest shouters about how IT persons supposedly just don't "understand" their workflow and left to their own accord would design a crappy system, all as they feel entitled to be in a technological field without knowing even the basics of the industry.
I say if you're not technical enough to understand what AGILE development, java J2EE or OLAP and datamining are, aren't deeply versed in clinical languages (like SNOMED CT, ICD10, LOINC, etc) so you can work on common data dictionary projects AND you aren't very well connected politically in your organization, you probably want to be thinking about doing something else in around 4-7 years. If not sooner..
Sorry to be a raincloud but that's how I see it. The days of people who really have no other IT education other than being familiar with a proprietary EMR making a mint aren't going to last forever.
Last edit by AprettynewRN on Jan 4, '12