I have a second cousin who was starting her second year of nursing school in 1995. She changed her major on the advise of her college advisor. She was told that there would be a glut of nurses for many years to come and she was lucky she still had time to do something else. As you all know, this was totally incorrect info and by the time she would have gotten out of school the job market had opened up. This story brought to mind how I was told all through the '70s that I better get my RN because LPNs would soon be obsolete. Once I got my RN I immediately started to hear that I had to have my BSN by 1985 or I would be out on the street. I heard many, many years ago that Diploma programs were dinosaurs and would soon be gone. Yet I continue to meet people who are graduating from diploma right now and doing great. Is there any other field where there is so much bad info along the lines of career advice given out?
There are people who have not taken so much as one nursing class asking if they should or should not go into nursing based on what conditions are right this moment. The only thing I can really say for sure is that I have seen many changes and expect to see more. What those changes will mean four or five years from now I have not a clue. Beware of anyone who tells you they know for sure based on demographics or anything else. Yes demographics perdict a continuing shortage. However, healthcare has been and continues to phase out RNs and replace them with non professional staff. This in spite of evidence that this is a bad idea. How this will all end I do not know.